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Hauptverfasser: Karanjai, Rabimba, Shor, Boris, Austin, Amanda, Kennedy, Ryan, Lu, Yang, Xu, Lei, Shi, Weidong
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.00241
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author Karanjai, Rabimba
Shor, Boris
Austin, Amanda
Kennedy, Ryan
Lu, Yang
Xu, Lei
Shi, Weidong
author_facet Karanjai, Rabimba
Shor, Boris
Austin, Amanda
Kennedy, Ryan
Lu, Yang
Xu, Lei
Shi, Weidong
contents This paper investigates the use of Large Language Models (LLMs) to synthesize public opinion data, addressing challenges in traditional survey methods like declining response rates and non-response bias. We introduce a novel technique: role creation based on knowledge injection, a form of in-context learning that leverages RAG and specified personality profiles from the HEXACO model and demographic information, and uses that for dynamically generated prompts. This method allows LLMs to simulate diverse opinions more accurately than existing prompt engineering approaches. We compare our results with pre-trained models with standard few-shot prompts. Experiments using questions from the Cooperative Election Study (CES) demonstrate that our role-creation approach significantly improves the alignment of LLM-generated opinions with real-world human survey responses, increasing answer adherence. In addition, we discuss challenges, limitations and future research directions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_00241
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Synthesizing Public Opinions with LLMs: Role Creation, Impacts, and the Future to eDemorcacy
Karanjai, Rabimba
Shor, Boris
Austin, Amanda
Kennedy, Ryan
Lu, Yang
Xu, Lei
Shi, Weidong
Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
This paper investigates the use of Large Language Models (LLMs) to synthesize public opinion data, addressing challenges in traditional survey methods like declining response rates and non-response bias. We introduce a novel technique: role creation based on knowledge injection, a form of in-context learning that leverages RAG and specified personality profiles from the HEXACO model and demographic information, and uses that for dynamically generated prompts. This method allows LLMs to simulate diverse opinions more accurately than existing prompt engineering approaches. We compare our results with pre-trained models with standard few-shot prompts. Experiments using questions from the Cooperative Election Study (CES) demonstrate that our role-creation approach significantly improves the alignment of LLM-generated opinions with real-world human survey responses, increasing answer adherence. In addition, we discuss challenges, limitations and future research directions.
title Synthesizing Public Opinions with LLMs: Role Creation, Impacts, and the Future to eDemorcacy
topic Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.00241