Towards Calibrating Financial Market Simulators with High-frequency Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Yang, Peng, Ren, Junji, Wang, Feng, Tang, Ke
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Yang, Peng
Ren, Junji
Wang, Feng
Tang, Ke
author_facet Yang, Peng
Ren, Junji
Wang, Feng
Tang, Ke
contents The fidelity of financial market simulation is restricted by the so-called "non-identifiability" difficulty when calibrating high-frequency data. This paper first analyzes the inherent loss of data information in this difficulty, and proposes to use the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test (K-S) as the objective function for high-frequency calibration. Empirical studies verify that K-S has better identifiability of calibrating high-frequency data, while also leads to a much harder multi-modal landscape in the calibration space. To this end, we propose the adaptive stochastic ranking based negatively correlated search algorithm for improving the balance between exploration and exploitation. Experimental results on both simulated data and real market data demonstrate that the proposed method can obtain up to 36.0% improvement in high-frequency data calibration problems over the compared methods.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_00538
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Towards Calibrating Financial Market Simulators with High-frequency Data
Yang, Peng
Ren, Junji
Wang, Feng
Tang, Ke
Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
The fidelity of financial market simulation is restricted by the so-called "non-identifiability" difficulty when calibrating high-frequency data. This paper first analyzes the inherent loss of data information in this difficulty, and proposes to use the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test (K-S) as the objective function for high-frequency calibration. Empirical studies verify that K-S has better identifiability of calibrating high-frequency data, while also leads to a much harder multi-modal landscape in the calibration space. To this end, we propose the adaptive stochastic ranking based negatively correlated search algorithm for improving the balance between exploration and exploitation. Experimental results on both simulated data and real market data demonstrate that the proposed method can obtain up to 36.0% improvement in high-frequency data calibration problems over the compared methods.
title Towards Calibrating Financial Market Simulators with High-frequency Data
topic Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.00538