A Practical Guide to Estimating Conditional Marginal Effects: Modern Approaches

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Liu, Jiehan, Liu, Ziyi, Xu, Yiqing
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Liu, Jiehan
Liu, Ziyi
Xu, Yiqing
author_facet Liu, Jiehan
Liu, Ziyi
Xu, Yiqing
contents This Element offers a practical guide to estimating conditional marginal effects-how treatment effects vary with a moderating variable-using modern statistical methods. Commonly used approaches, such as linear interaction models, often suffer from unclarified estimands, limited overlap, and restrictive functional forms. This guide begins by clearly defining the estimand and presenting the main identification results. It then reviews and improves upon existing solutions, such as the semiparametric kernel estimator, and introduces robust estimation strategies, including augmented inverse propensity score weighting with Lasso selection (AIPW-Lasso) and double machine learning (DML) with modern algorithms. Each method is evaluated through simulations and empirical examples, with practical recommendations tailored to sample size and research context. All tools are implemented in the accompanying \texttt{interflex} package for \texttt{R}.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_01355
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Practical Guide to Estimating Conditional Marginal Effects: Modern Approaches
Liu, Jiehan
Liu, Ziyi
Xu, Yiqing
Methodology
Econometrics
This Element offers a practical guide to estimating conditional marginal effects-how treatment effects vary with a moderating variable-using modern statistical methods. Commonly used approaches, such as linear interaction models, often suffer from unclarified estimands, limited overlap, and restrictive functional forms. This guide begins by clearly defining the estimand and presenting the main identification results. It then reviews and improves upon existing solutions, such as the semiparametric kernel estimator, and introduces robust estimation strategies, including augmented inverse propensity score weighting with Lasso selection (AIPW-Lasso) and double machine learning (DML) with modern algorithms. Each method is evaluated through simulations and empirical examples, with practical recommendations tailored to sample size and research context. All tools are implemented in the accompanying \texttt{interflex} package for \texttt{R}.
title A Practical Guide to Estimating Conditional Marginal Effects: Modern Approaches
topic Methodology
Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.01355