Statistical applications of the 20/60/20 rule in risk management and portfolio optimization

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Pączek, Kewin, Jelito, Damian, Pitera, Marcin, Wyłomańska, Agnieszka
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Pączek, Kewin
Jelito, Damian
Pitera, Marcin
Wyłomańska, Agnieszka
author_facet Pączek, Kewin
Jelito, Damian
Pitera, Marcin
Wyłomańska, Agnieszka
contents This paper explores the applications of the 20/60/20 rule-a heuristic method that segments data into top-performing, average-performing, and underperforming groups-in mathematical finance. We review the statistical foundations of this rule and demonstrate its usefulness in risk management and portfolio optimization. Our study highlights three key applications. First, we apply the rule to stock market data, showing that it enables effective population clustering. Second, we introduce a novel, easy-to-implement method for extracting heavy-tail characteristics in risk management. Third, we integrate spatial reasoning based on the 20/60/20 rule into portfolio optimization, enhancing robustness and improving performance. To support our findings, we develop a new measure for quantifying tail heaviness and employ conditional statistics to reconstruct the unconditional distribution from the core data segment. This reconstructed distribution is tested on real financial data to evaluate whether the 20/60/20 segmentation effectively balances capturing extreme risks with maintaining the stability of central returns. Our results offer insights into financial data behavior under heavy-tailed conditions and demonstrate the potential of the 20/60/20 rule as a complementary tool for decision-making in finance.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_02840
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Statistical applications of the 20/60/20 rule in risk management and portfolio optimization
Pączek, Kewin
Jelito, Damian
Pitera, Marcin
Wyłomańska, Agnieszka
Portfolio Management
Methodology
This paper explores the applications of the 20/60/20 rule-a heuristic method that segments data into top-performing, average-performing, and underperforming groups-in mathematical finance. We review the statistical foundations of this rule and demonstrate its usefulness in risk management and portfolio optimization. Our study highlights three key applications. First, we apply the rule to stock market data, showing that it enables effective population clustering. Second, we introduce a novel, easy-to-implement method for extracting heavy-tail characteristics in risk management. Third, we integrate spatial reasoning based on the 20/60/20 rule into portfolio optimization, enhancing robustness and improving performance. To support our findings, we develop a new measure for quantifying tail heaviness and employ conditional statistics to reconstruct the unconditional distribution from the core data segment. This reconstructed distribution is tested on real financial data to evaluate whether the 20/60/20 segmentation effectively balances capturing extreme risks with maintaining the stability of central returns. Our results offer insights into financial data behavior under heavy-tailed conditions and demonstrate the potential of the 20/60/20 rule as a complementary tool for decision-making in finance.
title Statistical applications of the 20/60/20 rule in risk management and portfolio optimization
topic Portfolio Management
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.02840