Common Drivers in Sparsely Interacting Hawkes Processes

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Kreiss, Alexander, Mammen, Enno, Polonik, Wolfgang
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Kreiss, Alexander
Mammen, Enno
Polonik, Wolfgang
author_facet Kreiss, Alexander
Mammen, Enno
Polonik, Wolfgang
contents We study a multivariate Hawkes process as a model for time-continuous relational event networks. The model does not assume the network to be known, it includes covariates, and it allows for both common drivers, parameters common to all the actors in the network, and also local parameters specific for each actor. We derive rates of convergence for all of the model parameters when both the number of actors and the time horizon tends to infinity. To prevent an exploding network, sparseness is assumed. We also discuss numerical aspects.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_03916
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Common Drivers in Sparsely Interacting Hawkes Processes
Kreiss, Alexander
Mammen, Enno
Polonik, Wolfgang
Statistics Theory
We study a multivariate Hawkes process as a model for time-continuous relational event networks. The model does not assume the network to be known, it includes covariates, and it allows for both common drivers, parameters common to all the actors in the network, and also local parameters specific for each actor. We derive rates of convergence for all of the model parameters when both the number of actors and the time horizon tends to infinity. To prevent an exploding network, sparseness is assumed. We also discuss numerical aspects.
title Common Drivers in Sparsely Interacting Hawkes Processes
topic Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.03916