Mixture-of-Personas Language Models for Population Simulation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Bui, Ngoc, Nguyen, Hieu Trung, Kumar, Shantanu, Theodore, Julian, Qiu, Weikang, Nguyen, Viet Anh, Ying, Rex
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Bui, Ngoc
Nguyen, Hieu Trung
Kumar, Shantanu
Theodore, Julian
Qiu, Weikang
Nguyen, Viet Anh
Ying, Rex
author_facet Bui, Ngoc
Nguyen, Hieu Trung
Kumar, Shantanu
Theodore, Julian
Qiu, Weikang
Nguyen, Viet Anh
Ying, Rex
contents Advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) paved the way for their emerging applications in various domains, such as human behavior simulations, where LLMs could augment human-generated data in social science research and machine learning model training. However, pretrained LLMs often fail to capture the behavioral diversity of target populations due to the inherent variability across individuals and groups. To address this, we propose \textit{Mixture of Personas} (MoP), a \textit{probabilistic} prompting method that aligns the LLM responses with the target population. MoP is a contextual mixture model, where each component is an LM agent characterized by a persona and an exemplar representing subpopulation behaviors. The persona and exemplar are randomly chosen according to the learned mixing weights to elicit diverse LLM responses during simulation. MoP is flexible, requires no model finetuning, and is transferable across base models. Experiments for synthetic data generation show that MoP outperforms competing methods in alignment and diversity metrics.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_05019
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Mixture-of-Personas Language Models for Population Simulation
Bui, Ngoc
Nguyen, Hieu Trung
Kumar, Shantanu
Theodore, Julian
Qiu, Weikang
Nguyen, Viet Anh
Ying, Rex
Machine Learning
Computation and Language
Advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) paved the way for their emerging applications in various domains, such as human behavior simulations, where LLMs could augment human-generated data in social science research and machine learning model training. However, pretrained LLMs often fail to capture the behavioral diversity of target populations due to the inherent variability across individuals and groups. To address this, we propose \textit{Mixture of Personas} (MoP), a \textit{probabilistic} prompting method that aligns the LLM responses with the target population. MoP is a contextual mixture model, where each component is an LM agent characterized by a persona and an exemplar representing subpopulation behaviors. The persona and exemplar are randomly chosen according to the learned mixing weights to elicit diverse LLM responses during simulation. MoP is flexible, requires no model finetuning, and is transferable across base models. Experiments for synthetic data generation show that MoP outperforms competing methods in alignment and diversity metrics.
title Mixture-of-Personas Language Models for Population Simulation
topic Machine Learning
Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.05019