Origin of Phobos and Deimos : Orbital evolution shortly after formation from a potential dislocation

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Main Authors: Dahoumane, Ryan, Baillié, Kévin, Lainey, Valéry
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Dahoumane, Ryan
Baillié, Kévin
Lainey, Valéry
author_facet Dahoumane, Ryan
Baillié, Kévin
Lainey, Valéry
contents This paper deals with the formation and evolution of Mars' moons, Phobos and Deimos, assuming the dislocation of a larger progenitor as the origin of these moons. The study by Hyodo et al. (2022) argue that under somewhat simplistic modeling, the post-dislocation orbits of Phobos and Deimos inevitably collide within 10,000 years, leading to their mutual annihilation. These findings are based on $\mathcal{N}$-body simulations, accounting for Mars' $J_2$ and $J_4$ gravitational perturbations and mutual perturbations between the moons. In this paper, we challenge these findings by extending their work. We incorporate important perturbations such as solar perturbations, Mars' axial precession and nutation, and its deformation along three axes. We also extend some of the hypotheses made by Hyodo et al. (2022) concerning the initial distribution of Phobos and Deimos after the dislocation. Our analysis reveals that including these additional perturbations as well as the possibility of having more than two fragments after the dislocation does not alter the ultimate fate of Phobos and Deimos. The moons still converge towards collision within comparable timescales, supporting Hyodo et al. (2022) conclusions that the dislocation hypothesis under the dynamical scenario developed by Bagheri et al. (2021) has, in the best conditions, about 10\% chance of surviving after the first 100,000 years following their formation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_08369
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Origin of Phobos and Deimos : Orbital evolution shortly after formation from a potential dislocation
Dahoumane, Ryan
Baillié, Kévin
Lainey, Valéry
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
This paper deals with the formation and evolution of Mars' moons, Phobos and Deimos, assuming the dislocation of a larger progenitor as the origin of these moons. The study by Hyodo et al. (2022) argue that under somewhat simplistic modeling, the post-dislocation orbits of Phobos and Deimos inevitably collide within 10,000 years, leading to their mutual annihilation. These findings are based on $\mathcal{N}$-body simulations, accounting for Mars' $J_2$ and $J_4$ gravitational perturbations and mutual perturbations between the moons. In this paper, we challenge these findings by extending their work. We incorporate important perturbations such as solar perturbations, Mars' axial precession and nutation, and its deformation along three axes. We also extend some of the hypotheses made by Hyodo et al. (2022) concerning the initial distribution of Phobos and Deimos after the dislocation. Our analysis reveals that including these additional perturbations as well as the possibility of having more than two fragments after the dislocation does not alter the ultimate fate of Phobos and Deimos. The moons still converge towards collision within comparable timescales, supporting Hyodo et al. (2022) conclusions that the dislocation hypothesis under the dynamical scenario developed by Bagheri et al. (2021) has, in the best conditions, about 10\% chance of surviving after the first 100,000 years following their formation.
title Origin of Phobos and Deimos : Orbital evolution shortly after formation from a potential dislocation
topic Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.08369