A Practical Approach to using Supervised Machine Learning Models to Classify Aviation Safety Occurrences

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: Siow, Bryan Y.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Siow, Bryan Y.
author_facet Siow, Bryan Y.
contents This paper describes a practical approach of using supervised machine learning (ML) models to assist safety investigators to classify aviation occurrences into either incident or serious incident categories. Our implementation currently deployed as a ML web application is trained on a labelled dataset derived from publicly available aviation investigation reports. A selection of five supervised learning models (Support Vector Machine, Logistic Regression, Random Forest Classifier, XGBoost and K-Nearest Neighbors) were evaluated. This paper showed the best performing ML algorithm was the Random Forest Classifier with accuracy = 0.77, F1 Score = 0.78 and MCC = 0.51 (average of 100 sample runs). The study had also explored the effect of applying Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) to the imbalanced dataset, and the overall observation ranged from no significant effect to substantial degradation in performance for some of the models after the SMOTE adjustment.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_09063
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Practical Approach to using Supervised Machine Learning Models to Classify Aviation Safety Occurrences
Siow, Bryan Y.
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
I.2.6
This paper describes a practical approach of using supervised machine learning (ML) models to assist safety investigators to classify aviation occurrences into either incident or serious incident categories. Our implementation currently deployed as a ML web application is trained on a labelled dataset derived from publicly available aviation investigation reports. A selection of five supervised learning models (Support Vector Machine, Logistic Regression, Random Forest Classifier, XGBoost and K-Nearest Neighbors) were evaluated. This paper showed the best performing ML algorithm was the Random Forest Classifier with accuracy = 0.77, F1 Score = 0.78 and MCC = 0.51 (average of 100 sample runs). The study had also explored the effect of applying Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) to the imbalanced dataset, and the overall observation ranged from no significant effect to substantial degradation in performance for some of the models after the SMOTE adjustment.
title A Practical Approach to using Supervised Machine Learning Models to Classify Aviation Safety Occurrences
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
I.2.6
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.09063