Meta-Dependence in Conditional Independence Testing

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Hauptverfasser: Mazaheri, Bijan, Zhang, Jiaqi, Uhler, Caroline
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Mazaheri, Bijan
Zhang, Jiaqi
Uhler, Caroline
author_facet Mazaheri, Bijan
Zhang, Jiaqi
Uhler, Caroline
contents Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms utilize many statistical tests for conditional independence to uncover networks of causal dependencies. These approaches to causal discovery rely on an assumed correspondence between the graphical properties of a causal structure and the conditional independence properties of observed variables, known as the causal Markov condition and faithfulness. Finite data yields an empirical distribution that is "close" to the actual distribution. Across these many possible empirical distributions, the correspondence to the graphical properties can break down for different conditional independencies, and multiple violations can occur at the same time. We study this "meta-dependence" between conditional independence properties using the following geometric intuition: each conditional independence property constrains the space of possible joint distributions to a manifold. The "meta-dependence" between conditional independences is informed by the position of these manifolds relative to the true probability distribution. We provide a simple-to-compute measure of this meta-dependence using information projections and consolidate our findings empirically using both synthetic and real-world data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_12594
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Meta-Dependence in Conditional Independence Testing
Mazaheri, Bijan
Zhang, Jiaqi
Uhler, Caroline
Machine Learning
Information Theory
Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms utilize many statistical tests for conditional independence to uncover networks of causal dependencies. These approaches to causal discovery rely on an assumed correspondence between the graphical properties of a causal structure and the conditional independence properties of observed variables, known as the causal Markov condition and faithfulness. Finite data yields an empirical distribution that is "close" to the actual distribution. Across these many possible empirical distributions, the correspondence to the graphical properties can break down for different conditional independencies, and multiple violations can occur at the same time. We study this "meta-dependence" between conditional independence properties using the following geometric intuition: each conditional independence property constrains the space of possible joint distributions to a manifold. The "meta-dependence" between conditional independences is informed by the position of these manifolds relative to the true probability distribution. We provide a simple-to-compute measure of this meta-dependence using information projections and consolidate our findings empirically using both synthetic and real-world data.
title Meta-Dependence in Conditional Independence Testing
topic Machine Learning
Information Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.12594