Shrinkage priors for circulant correlation structure models

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Hauptverfasser: Okudo, Michiko, Sei, Tomonari
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Okudo, Michiko
Sei, Tomonari
author_facet Okudo, Michiko
Sei, Tomonari
contents We consider a new statistical model called the circulant correlation structure model, which is a multivariate Gaussian model with unknown covariance matrix and has a scale-invariance property. We construct shrinkage priors for the circulant correlation structure models and show that Bayesian predictive densities based on those priors asymptotically dominate Bayesian predictive densities based on Jeffreys priors under the Kullback-Leibler (KL) risk function. While shrinkage of eigenvalues of covariance matrices of Gaussian models has been successful, the proposed priors shrink a non-eigenvalue part of covariance matrices.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_12615
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Shrinkage priors for circulant correlation structure models
Okudo, Michiko
Sei, Tomonari
Statistics Theory
\MSC{62C10, 62F15, 62H12}
We consider a new statistical model called the circulant correlation structure model, which is a multivariate Gaussian model with unknown covariance matrix and has a scale-invariance property. We construct shrinkage priors for the circulant correlation structure models and show that Bayesian predictive densities based on those priors asymptotically dominate Bayesian predictive densities based on Jeffreys priors under the Kullback-Leibler (KL) risk function. While shrinkage of eigenvalues of covariance matrices of Gaussian models has been successful, the proposed priors shrink a non-eigenvalue part of covariance matrices.
title Shrinkage priors for circulant correlation structure models
topic Statistics Theory
\MSC{62C10, 62F15, 62H12}
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.12615