Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kaur, Navreet, Gonzales IV, Manuel, Alcaraz, Cristian Garcia, Gong, Jiaqi, Wells, Kristen J., Barnes, Laura E.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.14469
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1866916698848755712
author Kaur, Navreet
Gonzales IV, Manuel
Alcaraz, Cristian Garcia
Gong, Jiaqi
Wells, Kristen J.
Barnes, Laura E.
author_facet Kaur, Navreet
Gonzales IV, Manuel
Alcaraz, Cristian Garcia
Gong, Jiaqi
Wells, Kristen J.
Barnes, Laura E.
contents Non-adherence to medications is a critical concern since nearly half of patients with chronic illnesses do not follow their prescribed medication regimens, leading to increased mortality, costs, and preventable human distress. Amongst stage 0-3 breast cancer survivors, adherence to long-term adjuvant endocrine therapy (i.e., Tamoxifen and aromatase inhibitors) is associated with a significant increase in recurrence-free survival. This work aims to develop multi-scale models of medication adherence to understand the significance of different factors influencing adherence across varying time frames. We introduce a computational framework guided by Social Cognitive Theory for multi-scale (daily and weekly) modeling of longitudinal medication adherence. Our models employ both dynamic medication-taking patterns in the recent past (dynamic factors) as well as less frequently changing factors (static factors) for adherence prediction. Additionally, we assess the significance of various factors in influencing adherence behavior across different time scales. Our models outperform traditional machine learning counterparts in both daily and weekly tasks in terms of both accuracy and specificity. Daily models achieved an accuracy of 87.25%, and weekly models, an accuracy of 76.04%. Notably, dynamic past medication-taking patterns prove most valuable for predicting daily adherence, while a combination of dynamic and static factors is significant for macro-level weekly adherence patterns.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_14469
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A computational framework for longitudinal medication adherence prediction in breast cancer survivors: A social cognitive theory based approach
Kaur, Navreet
Gonzales IV, Manuel
Alcaraz, Cristian Garcia
Gong, Jiaqi
Wells, Kristen J.
Barnes, Laura E.
Machine Learning
Human-Computer Interaction
Non-adherence to medications is a critical concern since nearly half of patients with chronic illnesses do not follow their prescribed medication regimens, leading to increased mortality, costs, and preventable human distress. Amongst stage 0-3 breast cancer survivors, adherence to long-term adjuvant endocrine therapy (i.e., Tamoxifen and aromatase inhibitors) is associated with a significant increase in recurrence-free survival. This work aims to develop multi-scale models of medication adherence to understand the significance of different factors influencing adherence across varying time frames. We introduce a computational framework guided by Social Cognitive Theory for multi-scale (daily and weekly) modeling of longitudinal medication adherence. Our models employ both dynamic medication-taking patterns in the recent past (dynamic factors) as well as less frequently changing factors (static factors) for adherence prediction. Additionally, we assess the significance of various factors in influencing adherence behavior across different time scales. Our models outperform traditional machine learning counterparts in both daily and weekly tasks in terms of both accuracy and specificity. Daily models achieved an accuracy of 87.25%, and weekly models, an accuracy of 76.04%. Notably, dynamic past medication-taking patterns prove most valuable for predicting daily adherence, while a combination of dynamic and static factors is significant for macro-level weekly adherence patterns.
title A computational framework for longitudinal medication adherence prediction in breast cancer survivors: A social cognitive theory based approach
topic Machine Learning
Human-Computer Interaction
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.14469