The Formation of Production Networks: How Supply Chains Arise from Simple Learning with Minimal Information

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Vu, Tuong Manh, Carrella, Ernesto, Axtell, Robert, Guerrero, Omar A.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Vu, Tuong Manh
Carrella, Ernesto
Axtell, Robert
Guerrero, Omar A.
author_facet Vu, Tuong Manh
Carrella, Ernesto
Axtell, Robert
Guerrero, Omar A.
contents We develop a model where firms determine the price at which they sell their differentiable goods, the volume that they produce, and the inputs (types and amounts) that they purchase from other firms. A steady-state production network emerges endogenously without resorting to assumptions such as equilibrium or perfect knowledge about production technologies. Through a simple version of reinforcement learning, firms with heterogeneous technologies cope with uncertainty and maximize profits. Due to this learning process, firms can adapt to shocks such as demand shifts, suppliers/clients closure, productivity changes, and production technology modifications; effectively reshaping the production network. To demonstrate the potential of this model, we analyze the upstream and downstream impact of demand and productivity shocks.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_16010
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Formation of Production Networks: How Supply Chains Arise from Simple Learning with Minimal Information
Vu, Tuong Manh
Carrella, Ernesto
Axtell, Robert
Guerrero, Omar A.
Multiagent Systems
Machine Learning
General Economics
Economics
We develop a model where firms determine the price at which they sell their differentiable goods, the volume that they produce, and the inputs (types and amounts) that they purchase from other firms. A steady-state production network emerges endogenously without resorting to assumptions such as equilibrium or perfect knowledge about production technologies. Through a simple version of reinforcement learning, firms with heterogeneous technologies cope with uncertainty and maximize profits. Due to this learning process, firms can adapt to shocks such as demand shifts, suppliers/clients closure, productivity changes, and production technology modifications; effectively reshaping the production network. To demonstrate the potential of this model, we analyze the upstream and downstream impact of demand and productivity shocks.
title The Formation of Production Networks: How Supply Chains Arise from Simple Learning with Minimal Information
topic Multiagent Systems
Machine Learning
General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.16010