Toward a Principled Workflow for Prevalence Mapping Using Household Survey Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Dong, Qianyu, Wu, Yunhan, Li, Zehang Richard, Wakefield, Jon
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Dong, Qianyu
Wu, Yunhan
Li, Zehang Richard
Wakefield, Jon
author_facet Dong, Qianyu
Wu, Yunhan
Li, Zehang Richard
Wakefield, Jon
contents Understanding the prevalence of key demographic and health indicators in small geographic areas and domains is of global interest, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where vital registration data is sparse and household surveys are the primary source of information. Recent advances in computation and the increasing availability of spatially detailed datasets have led to much progress in sophisticated statistical modeling of prevalence. As a result, high-resolution prevalence maps for many indicators are routinely produced in the literature. However, statistical and practical guidance for producing prevalence maps in LMICs has been largely lacking. In particular, advice in choosing and evaluating models and interpreting results is needed, especially when data is limited. Software and analysis tools are also usually inaccessible to researchers in low-resource settings to conduct their own analysis or reproduce findings in the literature. In this paper, we propose a general workflow for prevalence mapping using household survey data. We consider all stages of the analysis pipeline, with particular emphasis on model choice and interpretation. We illustrate the proposed workflow using a case study mapping the proportion of pregnant women who had at least four antenatal care visits in Kenya. Reproducible code is provided in the Supplementary Materials and can be readily extended to a broad collection of indicators.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_16435
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Toward a Principled Workflow for Prevalence Mapping Using Household Survey Data
Dong, Qianyu
Wu, Yunhan
Li, Zehang Richard
Wakefield, Jon
Applications
Understanding the prevalence of key demographic and health indicators in small geographic areas and domains is of global interest, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where vital registration data is sparse and household surveys are the primary source of information. Recent advances in computation and the increasing availability of spatially detailed datasets have led to much progress in sophisticated statistical modeling of prevalence. As a result, high-resolution prevalence maps for many indicators are routinely produced in the literature. However, statistical and practical guidance for producing prevalence maps in LMICs has been largely lacking. In particular, advice in choosing and evaluating models and interpreting results is needed, especially when data is limited. Software and analysis tools are also usually inaccessible to researchers in low-resource settings to conduct their own analysis or reproduce findings in the literature. In this paper, we propose a general workflow for prevalence mapping using household survey data. We consider all stages of the analysis pipeline, with particular emphasis on model choice and interpretation. We illustrate the proposed workflow using a case study mapping the proportion of pregnant women who had at least four antenatal care visits in Kenya. Reproducible code is provided in the Supplementary Materials and can be readily extended to a broad collection of indicators.
title Toward a Principled Workflow for Prevalence Mapping Using Household Survey Data
topic Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.16435