Explainable Deep-Learning Based Potentially Hazardous Asteroids Classification Using Graph Neural Networks

Fuente: arXiv
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Autor principal: Jacques, Baimam Boukar Jean
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Jacques, Baimam Boukar Jean
author_facet Jacques, Baimam Boukar Jean
contents Classifying potentially hazardous asteroids (PHAs) is crucial for planetary defense and deep space navigation, yet traditional methods often overlook the dynamical relationships among asteroids. We introduce a Graph Neural Network (GNN) approach that models asteroids as nodes with orbital and physical features, connected by edges representing their similarities, using a NASA dataset of 958,524 records. Despite an extreme class imbalance with only 0.22% of the dataset with the hazardous label, our model achieves an overall accuracy of 99% and an AUC of 0.99, with a recall of 78% and an F1-score of 37% for hazardous asteroids after applying the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique. Feature importance analysis highlights albedo, perihelion distance, and semi-major axis as main predictors. This framework supports planetary defense missions and confirms AI's potential in enabling autonomous navigation for future missions such as NASA's NEO Surveyor and ESA's Ramses, offering an interpretable and scalable solution for asteroid hazard assessment.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_18605
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Explainable Deep-Learning Based Potentially Hazardous Asteroids Classification Using Graph Neural Networks
Jacques, Baimam Boukar Jean
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Machine Learning
Classifying potentially hazardous asteroids (PHAs) is crucial for planetary defense and deep space navigation, yet traditional methods often overlook the dynamical relationships among asteroids. We introduce a Graph Neural Network (GNN) approach that models asteroids as nodes with orbital and physical features, connected by edges representing their similarities, using a NASA dataset of 958,524 records. Despite an extreme class imbalance with only 0.22% of the dataset with the hazardous label, our model achieves an overall accuracy of 99% and an AUC of 0.99, with a recall of 78% and an F1-score of 37% for hazardous asteroids after applying the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique. Feature importance analysis highlights albedo, perihelion distance, and semi-major axis as main predictors. This framework supports planetary defense missions and confirms AI's potential in enabling autonomous navigation for future missions such as NASA's NEO Surveyor and ESA's Ramses, offering an interpretable and scalable solution for asteroid hazard assessment.
title Explainable Deep-Learning Based Potentially Hazardous Asteroids Classification Using Graph Neural Networks
topic Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.18605