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Main Authors: Afzal, Muhammad Hassan Bin, Ganga, Paula Daniela, Roy, Oindrila, Thompson, Kristina
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.20085
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author Afzal, Muhammad Hassan Bin
Ganga, Paula Daniela
Roy, Oindrila
Thompson, Kristina
author_facet Afzal, Muhammad Hassan Bin
Ganga, Paula Daniela
Roy, Oindrila
Thompson, Kristina
contents We investigate the determinants of voting behavior by focusing on the direct effect of educational attainment, sociodemographic characteristics, partisan identity, and political ideology on the intention to vote, registration, and turnout. We use the cumulative CCES dataset to explore voting behavior for the 2014 and 2018 midterm elections and the 2016 and 2020 general elections. We propose a new Voting Engagement Index (VEI) to assess these factors' cumulative impact on electoral participation. Our analysis shows that education consistently motivates voting behavior, while gender, race, and ethnicity significantly shape engagement levels. Mainly, Black and Middle Eastern Americans exhibit higher voting engagement, whereas Native Americans and females display lower odds of voting engagement. Although Native Americans and women express a clear intention to vote in upcoming elections with increased attainment, the intention is not fully realized in voter registration and voting during midterms and general elections. Income and home ownership also become apparent as strong predictors of voter engagement. This research contributes to understanding the changing aspects of voter motivation and participation, with implications for grassroots-level mobilization, including unheard voting voices in U.S. elections, more inclusive and just voting policies and future electoral studies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_20085
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Navigating through Educational Pathways to Political Participation: A Multi-theoretical Exploration of Voting Behaviors
Afzal, Muhammad Hassan Bin
Ganga, Paula Daniela
Roy, Oindrila
Thompson, Kristina
Physics and Society
We investigate the determinants of voting behavior by focusing on the direct effect of educational attainment, sociodemographic characteristics, partisan identity, and political ideology on the intention to vote, registration, and turnout. We use the cumulative CCES dataset to explore voting behavior for the 2014 and 2018 midterm elections and the 2016 and 2020 general elections. We propose a new Voting Engagement Index (VEI) to assess these factors' cumulative impact on electoral participation. Our analysis shows that education consistently motivates voting behavior, while gender, race, and ethnicity significantly shape engagement levels. Mainly, Black and Middle Eastern Americans exhibit higher voting engagement, whereas Native Americans and females display lower odds of voting engagement. Although Native Americans and women express a clear intention to vote in upcoming elections with increased attainment, the intention is not fully realized in voter registration and voting during midterms and general elections. Income and home ownership also become apparent as strong predictors of voter engagement. This research contributes to understanding the changing aspects of voter motivation and participation, with implications for grassroots-level mobilization, including unheard voting voices in U.S. elections, more inclusive and just voting policies and future electoral studies.
title Navigating through Educational Pathways to Political Participation: A Multi-theoretical Exploration of Voting Behaviors
topic Physics and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.20085