The Panel Complexity of Sortition: Is 12 Angry Men Enough?

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Brustle, Johannes, Fioravanti, Simone, Ponitka, Tomasz, Vollen, Jeremy
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Brustle, Johannes
Fioravanti, Simone
Ponitka, Tomasz
Vollen, Jeremy
author_facet Brustle, Johannes
Fioravanti, Simone
Ponitka, Tomasz
Vollen, Jeremy
contents Sortition is the practice of delegating public decision-making to randomly selected panels. Recently, it has gained momentum worldwide through its use in citizens' assemblies, sparking growing interest within the computer science community. One key appeal of sortition is that random panels tend to be more representative of the population than elected committees or parliaments. Our main conceptual contribution is a novel definition of representative panels, based on the Wasserstein distance from statistical learning theory. Using this definition, we develop a framework for analyzing the panel complexity problem -- determining the required panel size to ensure desirable properties. We focus on three key desiderata: (1) that efficiency at the panel level extends to the whole population, measured by social welfare; (2) that fairness guarantees for the panel translate to fairness for the population, captured by the core; and (3) that the probability of an outlier panel, for which the decision significantly deviates from the optimal one, remains low. We establish near-tight panel complexity guarantees for these desiderata across two fundamental social choice settings: participatory budgeting and facility location.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_20508
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Panel Complexity of Sortition: Is 12 Angry Men Enough?
Brustle, Johannes
Fioravanti, Simone
Ponitka, Tomasz
Vollen, Jeremy
Computer Science and Game Theory
Sortition is the practice of delegating public decision-making to randomly selected panels. Recently, it has gained momentum worldwide through its use in citizens' assemblies, sparking growing interest within the computer science community. One key appeal of sortition is that random panels tend to be more representative of the population than elected committees or parliaments. Our main conceptual contribution is a novel definition of representative panels, based on the Wasserstein distance from statistical learning theory. Using this definition, we develop a framework for analyzing the panel complexity problem -- determining the required panel size to ensure desirable properties. We focus on three key desiderata: (1) that efficiency at the panel level extends to the whole population, measured by social welfare; (2) that fairness guarantees for the panel translate to fairness for the population, captured by the core; and (3) that the probability of an outlier panel, for which the decision significantly deviates from the optimal one, remains low. We establish near-tight panel complexity guarantees for these desiderata across two fundamental social choice settings: participatory budgeting and facility location.
title The Panel Complexity of Sortition: Is 12 Angry Men Enough?
topic Computer Science and Game Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.20508