Chaos Meets Attention: Transformers for Large-Scale Dynamical Prediction

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Hauptverfasser: He, Yi, Yang, Yiming, Cheng, Xiaoyuan, Wang, Hai, Xue, Xiao, Chen, Boli, Hu, Yukun
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author He, Yi
Yang, Yiming
Cheng, Xiaoyuan
Wang, Hai
Xue, Xiao
Chen, Boli
Hu, Yukun
author_facet He, Yi
Yang, Yiming
Cheng, Xiaoyuan
Wang, Hai
Xue, Xiao
Chen, Boli
Hu, Yukun
contents Generating long-term trajectories of dissipative chaotic systems autoregressively is a highly challenging task. The inherent positive Lyapunov exponents amplify prediction errors over time. Many chaotic systems possess a crucial property - ergodicity on their attractors, which makes long-term prediction possible. State-of-the-art methods address ergodicity by preserving statistical properties using optimal transport techniques. However, these methods face scalability challenges due to the curse of dimensionality when matching distributions. To overcome this bottleneck, we propose a scalable transformer-based framework capable of stably generating long-term high-dimensional and high-resolution chaotic dynamics while preserving ergodicity. Our method is grounded in a physical perspective, revisiting the Von Neumann mean ergodic theorem to ensure the preservation of long-term statistics in the $\mathcal{L}^2$ space. We introduce novel modifications to the attention mechanism, making the transformer architecture well-suited for learning large-scale chaotic systems. Compared to operator-based and transformer-based methods, our model achieves better performances across five metrics, from short-term prediction accuracy to long-term statistics. In addition to our methodological contributions, we introduce a new chaotic system benchmark: a machine learning dataset of 140$k$ snapshots of turbulent channel flow along with various evaluation metrics for both short- and long-term performances, which is well-suited for machine learning research on chaotic systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_20858
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Chaos Meets Attention: Transformers for Large-Scale Dynamical Prediction
He, Yi
Yang, Yiming
Cheng, Xiaoyuan
Wang, Hai
Xue, Xiao
Chen, Boli
Hu, Yukun
Chaotic Dynamics
Generating long-term trajectories of dissipative chaotic systems autoregressively is a highly challenging task. The inherent positive Lyapunov exponents amplify prediction errors over time. Many chaotic systems possess a crucial property - ergodicity on their attractors, which makes long-term prediction possible. State-of-the-art methods address ergodicity by preserving statistical properties using optimal transport techniques. However, these methods face scalability challenges due to the curse of dimensionality when matching distributions. To overcome this bottleneck, we propose a scalable transformer-based framework capable of stably generating long-term high-dimensional and high-resolution chaotic dynamics while preserving ergodicity. Our method is grounded in a physical perspective, revisiting the Von Neumann mean ergodic theorem to ensure the preservation of long-term statistics in the $\mathcal{L}^2$ space. We introduce novel modifications to the attention mechanism, making the transformer architecture well-suited for learning large-scale chaotic systems. Compared to operator-based and transformer-based methods, our model achieves better performances across five metrics, from short-term prediction accuracy to long-term statistics. In addition to our methodological contributions, we introduce a new chaotic system benchmark: a machine learning dataset of 140$k$ snapshots of turbulent channel flow along with various evaluation metrics for both short- and long-term performances, which is well-suited for machine learning research on chaotic systems.
title Chaos Meets Attention: Transformers for Large-Scale Dynamical Prediction
topic Chaotic Dynamics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.20858