Sensitivity Analysis for Clustered Observational Studies with an Application to the Effectiveness of Magnet Nursing Hospitals

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Huang, Melody, Ben-Michael, Eli, McHugh, Matthew, Keele, Luke
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Huang, Melody
Ben-Michael, Eli
McHugh, Matthew
Keele, Luke
author_facet Huang, Melody
Ben-Michael, Eli
McHugh, Matthew
Keele, Luke
contents In a clustered observational study, treatment is assigned to groups and all units within the group are exposed to the treatment. Here, we use a clustered observational study (COS) design to estimate the effectiveness of Magnet Nursing certificates for emergency surgery patients. Recent research has introduced specialized weighting estimators for the COS design that balance baseline covariates at the unit and cluster level. These methods allow researchers to adjust for observed confounders, but are sensitive to unobserved confounding. In this paper, we develop new sensitivity analysis methods tailored to weighting estimators for COS designs. We provide several key contributions. First, we introduce a key bias decomposition, tailored to the specific confounding structure that arises in a COS. Second, we develop a sensitivity framework for weighted COS designs that constrain the error in the underlying weights. We introduce both a marginal sensitivity model and a variance-based sensitivity model, and extend both to accommodate multiple estimands. Finally, we propose amplification and benchmarking methods to better interpret the results. Throughout, we illustrate our proposed methods by analyzing the effectiveness of Magnet nursing hospitals.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2504_21617
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Sensitivity Analysis for Clustered Observational Studies with an Application to the Effectiveness of Magnet Nursing Hospitals
Huang, Melody
Ben-Michael, Eli
McHugh, Matthew
Keele, Luke
Methodology
Applications
In a clustered observational study, treatment is assigned to groups and all units within the group are exposed to the treatment. Here, we use a clustered observational study (COS) design to estimate the effectiveness of Magnet Nursing certificates for emergency surgery patients. Recent research has introduced specialized weighting estimators for the COS design that balance baseline covariates at the unit and cluster level. These methods allow researchers to adjust for observed confounders, but are sensitive to unobserved confounding. In this paper, we develop new sensitivity analysis methods tailored to weighting estimators for COS designs. We provide several key contributions. First, we introduce a key bias decomposition, tailored to the specific confounding structure that arises in a COS. Second, we develop a sensitivity framework for weighted COS designs that constrain the error in the underlying weights. We introduce both a marginal sensitivity model and a variance-based sensitivity model, and extend both to accommodate multiple estimands. Finally, we propose amplification and benchmarking methods to better interpret the results. Throughout, we illustrate our proposed methods by analyzing the effectiveness of Magnet nursing hospitals.
title Sensitivity Analysis for Clustered Observational Studies with an Application to the Effectiveness of Magnet Nursing Hospitals
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.21617