Local Quasi-Exponential Growth Models: Kernel Differential Equation Regression and Sparse Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Ge, Chunlei, Braun, W. John
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Ge, Chunlei
Braun, W. John
author_facet Ge, Chunlei
Braun, W. John
contents Local polynomial regression struggles with several challenges when dealing with sparse data. The difficulty in capturing local features of the underlying function can lead to a potential misrepresentation of the true relationship. Additionally, with limited data points in local neighborhoods, the variance of estimators can increase significantly. Local polynomial regression also requires a substantial amount of data to produce good models, making it less efficient for sparse datasets. This paper employs a differential equation-constrained regression approach, introduced by \citet{ding2014estimation}, for local quasi-exponential growth models. By incorporating first-order differential equations, this method extends the sparse design capacity of local polynomial regression while reducing bias and variance. We discuss the asymptotic biases and variances of kernel estimators using first-degree Taylor polynomials. Model comparisons are conducted using mouse tumor growth data, along with simulation studies under various scenarios that simulate quasi-exponential growth with different noise levels and growth rates.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_00231
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Local Quasi-Exponential Growth Models: Kernel Differential Equation Regression and Sparse Data
Ge, Chunlei
Braun, W. John
Methodology
Computation
62-08
G.3
Local polynomial regression struggles with several challenges when dealing with sparse data. The difficulty in capturing local features of the underlying function can lead to a potential misrepresentation of the true relationship. Additionally, with limited data points in local neighborhoods, the variance of estimators can increase significantly. Local polynomial regression also requires a substantial amount of data to produce good models, making it less efficient for sparse datasets. This paper employs a differential equation-constrained regression approach, introduced by \citet{ding2014estimation}, for local quasi-exponential growth models. By incorporating first-order differential equations, this method extends the sparse design capacity of local polynomial regression while reducing bias and variance. We discuss the asymptotic biases and variances of kernel estimators using first-degree Taylor polynomials. Model comparisons are conducted using mouse tumor growth data, along with simulation studies under various scenarios that simulate quasi-exponential growth with different noise levels and growth rates.
title Local Quasi-Exponential Growth Models: Kernel Differential Equation Regression and Sparse Data
topic Methodology
Computation
62-08
G.3
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.00231