A Decision-Focused Predict-then-Bid Framework for Strategic Energy Storage

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Yi, Ming, Wu, Yiqian, Alghumayjan, Saud, Anderson, James, Xu, Bolun
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Yi, Ming
Wu, Yiqian
Alghumayjan, Saud
Anderson, James
Xu, Bolun
author_facet Yi, Ming
Wu, Yiqian
Alghumayjan, Saud
Anderson, James
Xu, Bolun
contents This paper introduces a novel decision-focused framework for energy storage arbitrage bidding. Inspired by the bidding process for energy storage in electricity markets, we propose a predict-then-bid end-to-end method incorporating the storage arbitrage optimization and market clearing models. This is achieved through a tri-layer framework that combines a price prediction layer with a two-stage optimization problem: an energy storage optimization layer and a market-clearing optimization layer. We leverage the implicit function theorem for gradient computation in the first optimization layer and incorporate a perturbation-based approach into the decision-focused loss function to ensure differentiability in the market-clearing layer. Numerical experiments using electricity market data from New York demonstrate that our bidding design substantially outperforms existing methods, achieving the highest profits and showcasing the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_01551
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Decision-Focused Predict-then-Bid Framework for Strategic Energy Storage
Yi, Ming
Wu, Yiqian
Alghumayjan, Saud
Anderson, James
Xu, Bolun
Systems and Control
This paper introduces a novel decision-focused framework for energy storage arbitrage bidding. Inspired by the bidding process for energy storage in electricity markets, we propose a predict-then-bid end-to-end method incorporating the storage arbitrage optimization and market clearing models. This is achieved through a tri-layer framework that combines a price prediction layer with a two-stage optimization problem: an energy storage optimization layer and a market-clearing optimization layer. We leverage the implicit function theorem for gradient computation in the first optimization layer and incorporate a perturbation-based approach into the decision-focused loss function to ensure differentiability in the market-clearing layer. Numerical experiments using electricity market data from New York demonstrate that our bidding design substantially outperforms existing methods, achieving the highest profits and showcasing the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
title A Decision-Focused Predict-then-Bid Framework for Strategic Energy Storage
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.01551