Context-Aware Online Conformal Anomaly Detection with Prediction-Powered Data Acquisition

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Hauptverfasser: Farzaneh, Amirmohammad, Simeone, Osvaldo
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Farzaneh, Amirmohammad
Simeone, Osvaldo
author_facet Farzaneh, Amirmohammad
Simeone, Osvaldo
contents Online anomaly detection is essential in fields such as cybersecurity, healthcare, and industrial monitoring, where promptly identifying deviations from expected behavior can avert critical failures or security breaches. While numerous anomaly scoring methods based on supervised or unsupervised learning have been proposed, current approaches typically rely on a continuous stream of real-world calibration data to provide assumption-free guarantees on the false discovery rate (FDR). To address the inherent challenges posed by limited real calibration data, we introduce context-aware prediction-powered conformal online anomaly detection (C-PP-COAD). Our framework strategically leverages synthetic calibration data to mitigate data scarcity, while adaptively integrating real data based on contextual cues. C-PP-COAD utilizes conformal p-values, active p-value statistics, and online FDR control mechanisms to maintain rigorous and reliable anomaly detection performance over time. Experiments conducted on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that C-PP-COAD significantly reduces dependency on real calibration data without compromising guaranteed FDR control.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_01783
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Context-Aware Online Conformal Anomaly Detection with Prediction-Powered Data Acquisition
Farzaneh, Amirmohammad
Simeone, Osvaldo
Machine Learning
Information Theory
Online anomaly detection is essential in fields such as cybersecurity, healthcare, and industrial monitoring, where promptly identifying deviations from expected behavior can avert critical failures or security breaches. While numerous anomaly scoring methods based on supervised or unsupervised learning have been proposed, current approaches typically rely on a continuous stream of real-world calibration data to provide assumption-free guarantees on the false discovery rate (FDR). To address the inherent challenges posed by limited real calibration data, we introduce context-aware prediction-powered conformal online anomaly detection (C-PP-COAD). Our framework strategically leverages synthetic calibration data to mitigate data scarcity, while adaptively integrating real data based on contextual cues. C-PP-COAD utilizes conformal p-values, active p-value statistics, and online FDR control mechanisms to maintain rigorous and reliable anomaly detection performance over time. Experiments conducted on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that C-PP-COAD significantly reduces dependency on real calibration data without compromising guaranteed FDR control.
title Context-Aware Online Conformal Anomaly Detection with Prediction-Powered Data Acquisition
topic Machine Learning
Information Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.01783