A Robust Monotonic Single-Index Model for Skewed and Heavy-Tailed Data: A Deep Neural Network Approach Applied to Periodontal Studies

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Main Authors: Liu, Qingyang, Wang, Shijie, Bai, Ray, Bandyopadhyay, Dipankar
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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_version_ 1866916719545548800
author Liu, Qingyang
Wang, Shijie
Bai, Ray
Bandyopadhyay, Dipankar
author_facet Liu, Qingyang
Wang, Shijie
Bai, Ray
Bandyopadhyay, Dipankar
contents Periodontal pocket depth is a widely used biomarker for diagnosing risk of periodontal disease. However, pocket depth typically exhibits skewness and heavy-tailedness, and its relationship with clinical risk factors is often nonlinear. Motivated by periodontal studies, this paper develops a robust single-index modal regression framework for analyzing skewed and heavy-tailed data. Our method has the following novel features: (1) a flexible two-piece scale Student-$t$ error distribution that generalizes both normal and two-piece scale normal distributions; (2) a deep neural network with guaranteed monotonicity constraints to estimate the unknown single-index function; and (3) theoretical guarantees, including model identifiability and a universal approximation theorem. Our single-index model combines the flexibility of neural networks and the two-piece scale Student-$t$ distribution, delivering robust mode-based estimation that is resistant to outliers, while retaining clinical interpretability through parametric index coefficients. We demonstrate the performance of our method through simulation studies and an application to periodontal disease data from the HealthPartners Institute of Minnesota. The proposed methodology is implemented in the \textsf{R} package \href{https://doi.org/10.32614/CRAN.package.DNNSIM}{\textsc{DNNSIM}}.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_02153
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Robust Monotonic Single-Index Model for Skewed and Heavy-Tailed Data: A Deep Neural Network Approach Applied to Periodontal Studies
Liu, Qingyang
Wang, Shijie
Bai, Ray
Bandyopadhyay, Dipankar
Methodology
Machine Learning
62J99
G.3
Periodontal pocket depth is a widely used biomarker for diagnosing risk of periodontal disease. However, pocket depth typically exhibits skewness and heavy-tailedness, and its relationship with clinical risk factors is often nonlinear. Motivated by periodontal studies, this paper develops a robust single-index modal regression framework for analyzing skewed and heavy-tailed data. Our method has the following novel features: (1) a flexible two-piece scale Student-$t$ error distribution that generalizes both normal and two-piece scale normal distributions; (2) a deep neural network with guaranteed monotonicity constraints to estimate the unknown single-index function; and (3) theoretical guarantees, including model identifiability and a universal approximation theorem. Our single-index model combines the flexibility of neural networks and the two-piece scale Student-$t$ distribution, delivering robust mode-based estimation that is resistant to outliers, while retaining clinical interpretability through parametric index coefficients. We demonstrate the performance of our method through simulation studies and an application to periodontal disease data from the HealthPartners Institute of Minnesota. The proposed methodology is implemented in the \textsf{R} package \href{https://doi.org/10.32614/CRAN.package.DNNSIM}{\textsc{DNNSIM}}.
title A Robust Monotonic Single-Index Model for Skewed and Heavy-Tailed Data: A Deep Neural Network Approach Applied to Periodontal Studies
topic Methodology
Machine Learning
62J99
G.3
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.02153