Uncertainty Quantification for Machine Learning in Healthcare: A Survey

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: López, L. Julián Lechuga, Elsharief, Shaza, Jorf, Dhiyaa Al, Darwish, Firas, Ma, Congbo, Shamout, Farah E.
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author López, L. Julián Lechuga
Elsharief, Shaza
Jorf, Dhiyaa Al
Darwish, Firas
Ma, Congbo
Shamout, Farah E.
author_facet López, L. Julián Lechuga
Elsharief, Shaza
Jorf, Dhiyaa Al
Darwish, Firas
Ma, Congbo
Shamout, Farah E.
contents Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is pivotal in enhancing the robustness, reliability, and interpretability of Machine Learning (ML) systems for healthcare, optimizing resources and improving patient care. Despite the emergence of ML-based clinical decision support tools, the lack of principled quantification of uncertainty in ML models remains a major challenge. Current reviews have a narrow focus on analyzing the state-of-the-art UQ in specific healthcare domains without systematically evaluating method efficacy across different stages of model development, and despite a growing body of research, its implementation in healthcare applications remains limited. Therefore, in this survey, we provide a comprehensive analysis of current UQ in healthcare, offering an informed framework that highlights how different methods can be integrated into each stage of the ML pipeline including data processing, training and evaluation. We also highlight the most popular methods used in healthcare and novel approaches from other domains that hold potential for future adoption in the medical context. We expect this study will provide a clear overview of the challenges and opportunities of implementing UQ in the ML pipeline for healthcare, guiding researchers and practitioners in selecting suitable techniques to enhance the reliability, safety and trust from patients and clinicians on ML-driven healthcare solutions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_02874
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Uncertainty Quantification for Machine Learning in Healthcare: A Survey
López, L. Julián Lechuga
Elsharief, Shaza
Jorf, Dhiyaa Al
Darwish, Firas
Ma, Congbo
Shamout, Farah E.
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is pivotal in enhancing the robustness, reliability, and interpretability of Machine Learning (ML) systems for healthcare, optimizing resources and improving patient care. Despite the emergence of ML-based clinical decision support tools, the lack of principled quantification of uncertainty in ML models remains a major challenge. Current reviews have a narrow focus on analyzing the state-of-the-art UQ in specific healthcare domains without systematically evaluating method efficacy across different stages of model development, and despite a growing body of research, its implementation in healthcare applications remains limited. Therefore, in this survey, we provide a comprehensive analysis of current UQ in healthcare, offering an informed framework that highlights how different methods can be integrated into each stage of the ML pipeline including data processing, training and evaluation. We also highlight the most popular methods used in healthcare and novel approaches from other domains that hold potential for future adoption in the medical context. We expect this study will provide a clear overview of the challenges and opportunities of implementing UQ in the ML pipeline for healthcare, guiding researchers and practitioners in selecting suitable techniques to enhance the reliability, safety and trust from patients and clinicians on ML-driven healthcare solutions.
title Uncertainty Quantification for Machine Learning in Healthcare: A Survey
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.02874