Cumulative Logit Ordinal Regression with Proportional Odds under Nonignorable Missing Response -- Application to Phase III Trial

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Maity, Arnab Kumar, Tan, Huaming, Pradhan, Vivek, Bandyopadhyay, Soutir
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Maity, Arnab Kumar
Tan, Huaming
Pradhan, Vivek
Bandyopadhyay, Soutir
author_facet Maity, Arnab Kumar
Tan, Huaming
Pradhan, Vivek
Bandyopadhyay, Soutir
contents Missing data are inevitable in clinical trials, and trials that produce categorical ordinal responses are not exempted from this. Typically, missing values in the data occur due to different missing mechanisms, such as missing completely at random, missing at random, and missing not at random. Under a specific missing data regime, when the conditional distribution of the missing data is dependent on the ordinal response variable itself along with other predictor variables, then the missing data mechanism is called nonignorable. In this article we propose an expectation maximization based algorithm for fitting a proportional odds regression model when the missing responses are nonignorable. We report results from an extensive simulation study to illustrate the methodology and its finite sample properties. We also apply the proposed method to a recently completed Phase III psoriasis study using an investigational compound. The corresponding SAS program is provided.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_04727
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Cumulative Logit Ordinal Regression with Proportional Odds under Nonignorable Missing Response -- Application to Phase III Trial
Maity, Arnab Kumar
Tan, Huaming
Pradhan, Vivek
Bandyopadhyay, Soutir
Methodology
Applications
Missing data are inevitable in clinical trials, and trials that produce categorical ordinal responses are not exempted from this. Typically, missing values in the data occur due to different missing mechanisms, such as missing completely at random, missing at random, and missing not at random. Under a specific missing data regime, when the conditional distribution of the missing data is dependent on the ordinal response variable itself along with other predictor variables, then the missing data mechanism is called nonignorable. In this article we propose an expectation maximization based algorithm for fitting a proportional odds regression model when the missing responses are nonignorable. We report results from an extensive simulation study to illustrate the methodology and its finite sample properties. We also apply the proposed method to a recently completed Phase III psoriasis study using an investigational compound. The corresponding SAS program is provided.
title Cumulative Logit Ordinal Regression with Proportional Odds under Nonignorable Missing Response -- Application to Phase III Trial
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.04727