Improving Local Air Quality Predictions Using Transfer Learning on Satellite Data and Graph Neural Networks

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Gueterbock, Finn, Santos-Rodriguez, Raul, Clark, Jeffrey N.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Gueterbock, Finn
Santos-Rodriguez, Raul
Clark, Jeffrey N.
author_facet Gueterbock, Finn
Santos-Rodriguez, Raul
Clark, Jeffrey N.
contents Air pollution is a significant global health risk, contributing to millions of premature deaths annually. Nitrogen dioxide (NO2), a harmful pollutant, disproportionately affects urban areas where monitoring networks are often sparse. We propose a novel method for predicting NO2 concentrations at unmonitored locations using transfer learning with satellite and meteorological data. Leveraging the GraphSAGE framework, our approach integrates autoregression and transfer learning to enhance predictive accuracy in data-scarce regions like Bristol. Pre-trained on data from London, UK, our model achieves a 8.6% reduction in Normalised Root Mean Squared Error (NRMSE) and a 32.6% reduction in Gradient RMSE compared to a baseline model. This work demonstrates the potential of virtual sensors for cost-effective air quality monitoring, contributing to actionable insights for climate and health interventions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_05479
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Improving Local Air Quality Predictions Using Transfer Learning on Satellite Data and Graph Neural Networks
Gueterbock, Finn
Santos-Rodriguez, Raul
Clark, Jeffrey N.
Signal Processing
Machine Learning
Air pollution is a significant global health risk, contributing to millions of premature deaths annually. Nitrogen dioxide (NO2), a harmful pollutant, disproportionately affects urban areas where monitoring networks are often sparse. We propose a novel method for predicting NO2 concentrations at unmonitored locations using transfer learning with satellite and meteorological data. Leveraging the GraphSAGE framework, our approach integrates autoregression and transfer learning to enhance predictive accuracy in data-scarce regions like Bristol. Pre-trained on data from London, UK, our model achieves a 8.6% reduction in Normalised Root Mean Squared Error (NRMSE) and a 32.6% reduction in Gradient RMSE compared to a baseline model. This work demonstrates the potential of virtual sensors for cost-effective air quality monitoring, contributing to actionable insights for climate and health interventions.
title Improving Local Air Quality Predictions Using Transfer Learning on Satellite Data and Graph Neural Networks
topic Signal Processing
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.05479