Utility Maximization Under Endogenous Uncertainty

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteur principal: Gupta, Ayush
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Gupta, Ayush
author_facet Gupta, Ayush
contents This paper studies decision problems where the decision maker's choice of action affects the probability distribution of a payoff relevant random variable. We establish sufficient conditions for the existence of an expected utility maximizing action in such settings. The main requirement is a mild continuity condition on the family of possible distributions. We also show that this condition is a minimal requirement. Our result does not require common assumptions such as the monotone likelihood ratio property (MLRP) or the convexity of distribution functions condition (CDFC). It can therefore be used to prove the existence of an optimal action in many settings where existing results do not apply, including an important class of problems where the support of the random variable depends on the decision maker's choice and the density functions are not pointwise continuous.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_06846
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Utility Maximization Under Endogenous Uncertainty
Gupta, Ayush
Theoretical Economics
Optimization and Control
This paper studies decision problems where the decision maker's choice of action affects the probability distribution of a payoff relevant random variable. We establish sufficient conditions for the existence of an expected utility maximizing action in such settings. The main requirement is a mild continuity condition on the family of possible distributions. We also show that this condition is a minimal requirement. Our result does not require common assumptions such as the monotone likelihood ratio property (MLRP) or the convexity of distribution functions condition (CDFC). It can therefore be used to prove the existence of an optimal action in many settings where existing results do not apply, including an important class of problems where the support of the random variable depends on the decision maker's choice and the density functions are not pointwise continuous.
title Utility Maximization Under Endogenous Uncertainty
topic Theoretical Economics
Optimization and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.06846