A Possible Problem with the Sunspot Number

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Svalgaard, Leif
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Svalgaard, Leif
author_facet Svalgaard, Leif
contents Sunspots are areas of strong magnetic fields driven by a convective dynamo. Rudolf Wolf devised his Sunspot Number (SN) series to describe its variation with time. Most other solar phenomena vary in concert with SN, in particular the microwave radiation. During the interval 2014-Jul to 2015-Dec, the variation of the SN with the microwave flux (e.g. F10.7) was anomalous, although microwave flux did not exhibit any anomaly with respect to the solar magnetic field measured by the HMI instrument on the SDO spacecraft. This points to a possible problem with the derivation of the SN using the 148,714 reports of sunspot observations received by the World Data Center Solar Influences (SIDC/SILSO at ROB) since 2011 (when the last public raw data was released). The unavailability of the raw data since then, contrary to avowed open data policy of ROB, prevents independent assessment and possible correction of the anomaly. We urge ROB to make the raw data available.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_08832
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Possible Problem with the Sunspot Number
Svalgaard, Leif
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Solar and Stellar Astrophysics
Space Physics
Sunspots are areas of strong magnetic fields driven by a convective dynamo. Rudolf Wolf devised his Sunspot Number (SN) series to describe its variation with time. Most other solar phenomena vary in concert with SN, in particular the microwave radiation. During the interval 2014-Jul to 2015-Dec, the variation of the SN with the microwave flux (e.g. F10.7) was anomalous, although microwave flux did not exhibit any anomaly with respect to the solar magnetic field measured by the HMI instrument on the SDO spacecraft. This points to a possible problem with the derivation of the SN using the 148,714 reports of sunspot observations received by the World Data Center Solar Influences (SIDC/SILSO at ROB) since 2011 (when the last public raw data was released). The unavailability of the raw data since then, contrary to avowed open data policy of ROB, prevents independent assessment and possible correction of the anomaly. We urge ROB to make the raw data available.
title A Possible Problem with the Sunspot Number
topic Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Solar and Stellar Astrophysics
Space Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.08832