A Minimal Methanol Backstop for High Electrification Scenarios

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Glaum, Philipp, Neumann, Fabian, Millinger, Markus, Brown, Tom
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Glaum, Philipp
Neumann, Fabian
Millinger, Markus
Brown, Tom
author_facet Glaum, Philipp
Neumann, Fabian
Millinger, Markus
Brown, Tom
contents Electrification of sectors such as land transport and building heating is a cost-effective pathway to deep decarbonization. However, some sectors still require energy-dense fuels -- including aviation, shipping and backup power -- or chemical feedstocks. While a 'hydrogen economy' is often proposed to fill these hard-to-electrify gaps, it faces challenges in transport, storage, and infrastructure coordination. We introduce a 'minimal methanol backstop' to supply residual demand in highly-electrified systems. As a liquid fuel, methanol is easy to store and transport, and avoids infrastructure lock-in. Produced from hydrogen and carbon monoxide, it can help integrate biogenic carbon from decentralized biomass wastes and residues. Using a European energy system model constrained to be carbon-neutral, we show that methanol-based systems increase total system costs by 2.4% relative to hydrogen-based systems, an increase that remains below 6% across sensitivities. We argue that this modest cost premium is justified by reduced infrastructure complexity.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_09277
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Minimal Methanol Backstop for High Electrification Scenarios
Glaum, Philipp
Neumann, Fabian
Millinger, Markus
Brown, Tom
Physics and Society
Electrification of sectors such as land transport and building heating is a cost-effective pathway to deep decarbonization. However, some sectors still require energy-dense fuels -- including aviation, shipping and backup power -- or chemical feedstocks. While a 'hydrogen economy' is often proposed to fill these hard-to-electrify gaps, it faces challenges in transport, storage, and infrastructure coordination. We introduce a 'minimal methanol backstop' to supply residual demand in highly-electrified systems. As a liquid fuel, methanol is easy to store and transport, and avoids infrastructure lock-in. Produced from hydrogen and carbon monoxide, it can help integrate biogenic carbon from decentralized biomass wastes and residues. Using a European energy system model constrained to be carbon-neutral, we show that methanol-based systems increase total system costs by 2.4% relative to hydrogen-based systems, an increase that remains below 6% across sensitivities. We argue that this modest cost premium is justified by reduced infrastructure complexity.
title A Minimal Methanol Backstop for High Electrification Scenarios
topic Physics and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.09277