An Exponential Averaging Process with Strong Convergence Properties

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Hauptverfasser: Köhne, Frederik, Schiela, Anton
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Köhne, Frederik
Schiela, Anton
author_facet Köhne, Frederik
Schiela, Anton
contents Averaging, or smoothing, is a fundamental approach to obtain stable, de-noised estimates from noisy observations. In certain scenarios, observations made along trajectories of random dynamical systems are of particular interest. One popular smoothing technique for such a scenario is exponential moving averaging (EMA), which assigns observations a weight that decreases exponentially in their age, thus giving younger observations a larger weight. However, EMA fails to enjoy strong stochastic convergence properties, which stems from the fact that the weight assigned to the youngest observation is constant over time, preventing the noise in the averaged quantity from decreasing to zero. In this work, we consider an adaptation to EMA, which we call $p$-EMA, where the weights assigned to the last observations decrease to zero at a subharmonic rate. We provide stochastic convergence guarantees for this kind of averaging under mild assumptions on the autocorrelations of the underlying random dynamical system. We further discuss the implications of our results for a recently introduced adaptive step size control for Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), which uses $p$-EMA for averaging noisy observations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_10605
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle An Exponential Averaging Process with Strong Convergence Properties
Köhne, Frederik
Schiela, Anton
Machine Learning
Probability
Statistics Theory
60F15 (Primary) 60G10, 60J20, 68T05, 90C15 (Secondary)
Averaging, or smoothing, is a fundamental approach to obtain stable, de-noised estimates from noisy observations. In certain scenarios, observations made along trajectories of random dynamical systems are of particular interest. One popular smoothing technique for such a scenario is exponential moving averaging (EMA), which assigns observations a weight that decreases exponentially in their age, thus giving younger observations a larger weight. However, EMA fails to enjoy strong stochastic convergence properties, which stems from the fact that the weight assigned to the youngest observation is constant over time, preventing the noise in the averaged quantity from decreasing to zero. In this work, we consider an adaptation to EMA, which we call $p$-EMA, where the weights assigned to the last observations decrease to zero at a subharmonic rate. We provide stochastic convergence guarantees for this kind of averaging under mild assumptions on the autocorrelations of the underlying random dynamical system. We further discuss the implications of our results for a recently introduced adaptive step size control for Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), which uses $p$-EMA for averaging noisy observations.
title An Exponential Averaging Process with Strong Convergence Properties
topic Machine Learning
Probability
Statistics Theory
60F15 (Primary) 60G10, 60J20, 68T05, 90C15 (Secondary)
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.10605