Toward Reliable Scientific Hypothesis Generation: Evaluating Truthfulness and Hallucination in Large Language Models

Fuente: arXiv
Enregistré dans:
Détails bibliographiques
Auteurs principaux: Xiong, Guangzhi, Xie, Eric, Williams, Corey, Kim, Myles, Shariatmadari, Amir Hassan, Guo, Sikun, Bekiranov, Stefan, Zhang, Aidong
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:
Tags: Ajouter un tag
Pas de tags, Soyez le premier à ajouter un tag!
_version_ 1866916783767683072
author Xiong, Guangzhi
Xie, Eric
Williams, Corey
Kim, Myles
Shariatmadari, Amir Hassan
Guo, Sikun
Bekiranov, Stefan
Zhang, Aidong
author_facet Xiong, Guangzhi
Xie, Eric
Williams, Corey
Kim, Myles
Shariatmadari, Amir Hassan
Guo, Sikun
Bekiranov, Stefan
Zhang, Aidong
contents Large language models (LLMs) have shown significant potential in scientific disciplines such as biomedicine, particularly in hypothesis generation, where they can analyze vast literature, identify patterns, and suggest research directions. However, a key challenge lies in evaluating the truthfulness of generated hypotheses, as verifying their accuracy often requires substantial time and resources. Additionally, the hallucination problem in LLMs can lead to the generation of hypotheses that appear plausible but are ultimately incorrect, undermining their reliability. To facilitate the systematic study of these challenges, we introduce TruthHypo, a benchmark for assessing the capabilities of LLMs in generating truthful scientific hypotheses, and KnowHD, a knowledge-based hallucination detector to evaluate how well hypotheses are grounded in existing knowledge. Our results show that LLMs struggle to generate truthful hypotheses. By analyzing hallucinations in reasoning steps, we demonstrate that the groundedness scores provided by KnowHD serve as an effective metric for filtering truthful hypotheses from the diverse outputs of LLMs. Human evaluations further validate the utility of KnowHD in identifying truthful hypotheses and accelerating scientific discovery. Our data and source code are available at https://github.com/Teddy-XiongGZ/TruthHypo.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_14599
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Toward Reliable Scientific Hypothesis Generation: Evaluating Truthfulness and Hallucination in Large Language Models
Xiong, Guangzhi
Xie, Eric
Williams, Corey
Kim, Myles
Shariatmadari, Amir Hassan
Guo, Sikun
Bekiranov, Stefan
Zhang, Aidong
Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
Large language models (LLMs) have shown significant potential in scientific disciplines such as biomedicine, particularly in hypothesis generation, where they can analyze vast literature, identify patterns, and suggest research directions. However, a key challenge lies in evaluating the truthfulness of generated hypotheses, as verifying their accuracy often requires substantial time and resources. Additionally, the hallucination problem in LLMs can lead to the generation of hypotheses that appear plausible but are ultimately incorrect, undermining their reliability. To facilitate the systematic study of these challenges, we introduce TruthHypo, a benchmark for assessing the capabilities of LLMs in generating truthful scientific hypotheses, and KnowHD, a knowledge-based hallucination detector to evaluate how well hypotheses are grounded in existing knowledge. Our results show that LLMs struggle to generate truthful hypotheses. By analyzing hallucinations in reasoning steps, we demonstrate that the groundedness scores provided by KnowHD serve as an effective metric for filtering truthful hypotheses from the diverse outputs of LLMs. Human evaluations further validate the utility of KnowHD in identifying truthful hypotheses and accelerating scientific discovery. Our data and source code are available at https://github.com/Teddy-XiongGZ/TruthHypo.
title Toward Reliable Scientific Hypothesis Generation: Evaluating Truthfulness and Hallucination in Large Language Models
topic Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.14599