Sequential simulation-based inference for extreme mass ratio inspirals

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Cole, Philippa S., Alvey, James, Speri, Lorenzo, Weniger, Christoph, Bhardwaj, Uddipta, Gerosa, Davide, Bertone, Gianfranco
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Cole, Philippa S.
Alvey, James
Speri, Lorenzo
Weniger, Christoph
Bhardwaj, Uddipta
Gerosa, Davide
Bertone, Gianfranco
author_facet Cole, Philippa S.
Alvey, James
Speri, Lorenzo
Weniger, Christoph
Bhardwaj, Uddipta
Gerosa, Davide
Bertone, Gianfranco
contents Extreme mass-ratio inspirals pose a difficult challenge in terms of both search and parameter estimation for upcoming space-based gravitational-wave detectors such as LISA. Their signals are long and of complex morphology, meaning they carry a large amount of information about their source, but are also difficult to search for and analyse. We explore how sequential simulation-based inference methods, specifically truncated marginal neural ratio estimation, could offer solutions to some of the challenges surrounding extreme-mass-ratio inspiral data analysis. We show that this method can efficiently narrow down the volume of the complex 11-dimensional search parameter space by a factor of $10^6-10^7$ and provide 1-dimensional marginal proposal distributions for non-spinning extreme-mass-ratio inspirals. We discuss the current limitations of this approach and place it in the broader context of a global strategy for future space-based gravitational-wave data analysis.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_16795
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Sequential simulation-based inference for extreme mass ratio inspirals
Cole, Philippa S.
Alvey, James
Speri, Lorenzo
Weniger, Christoph
Bhardwaj, Uddipta
Gerosa, Davide
Bertone, Gianfranco
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Extreme mass-ratio inspirals pose a difficult challenge in terms of both search and parameter estimation for upcoming space-based gravitational-wave detectors such as LISA. Their signals are long and of complex morphology, meaning they carry a large amount of information about their source, but are also difficult to search for and analyse. We explore how sequential simulation-based inference methods, specifically truncated marginal neural ratio estimation, could offer solutions to some of the challenges surrounding extreme-mass-ratio inspiral data analysis. We show that this method can efficiently narrow down the volume of the complex 11-dimensional search parameter space by a factor of $10^6-10^7$ and provide 1-dimensional marginal proposal distributions for non-spinning extreme-mass-ratio inspirals. We discuss the current limitations of this approach and place it in the broader context of a global strategy for future space-based gravitational-wave data analysis.
title Sequential simulation-based inference for extreme mass ratio inspirals
topic General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.16795