Sampling from Conditional Distributions of Simplified Vines

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Hanebeck, Ariane, Şahin, Özge, Havlíčková, Petra, Czado, Claudia
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Hanebeck, Ariane
Şahin, Özge
Havlíčková, Petra
Czado, Claudia
author_facet Hanebeck, Ariane
Şahin, Özge
Havlíčková, Petra
Czado, Claudia
contents Simplified vine copulas are flexible tools over standard multivariate distributions for modeling and understanding different dependence properties in high-dimensional data. Their conditional distributions are of utmost importance, from statistical learning to graphical models. However, the conditional densities of vine copulas and, thus, vine distributions cannot be obtained in closed form without integration for all possible sets of conditioning variables. We propose a Markov Chain Monte Carlo based approach of using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo to sample from any conditional distribution of arbitrarily specified simplified vine copulas and thus vine distributions. We show its accuracy through simulation studies and analyze data of multiple maize traits such as flowering times, plant height, and vigor. Use cases from predicting traits to estimating conditional Kendall's tau are presented.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_17706
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Sampling from Conditional Distributions of Simplified Vines
Hanebeck, Ariane
Şahin, Özge
Havlíčková, Petra
Czado, Claudia
Methodology
Computation
Simplified vine copulas are flexible tools over standard multivariate distributions for modeling and understanding different dependence properties in high-dimensional data. Their conditional distributions are of utmost importance, from statistical learning to graphical models. However, the conditional densities of vine copulas and, thus, vine distributions cannot be obtained in closed form without integration for all possible sets of conditioning variables. We propose a Markov Chain Monte Carlo based approach of using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo to sample from any conditional distribution of arbitrarily specified simplified vine copulas and thus vine distributions. We show its accuracy through simulation studies and analyze data of multiple maize traits such as flowering times, plant height, and vigor. Use cases from predicting traits to estimating conditional Kendall's tau are presented.
title Sampling from Conditional Distributions of Simplified Vines
topic Methodology
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.17706