The Effects of Climate and Weather on Economic Output: Evidence from Global Subnational Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Dong, Jinchi, Tol, Richard S. J., Wang, Jinnan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Dong, Jinchi
Tol, Richard S. J.
Wang, Jinnan
author_facet Dong, Jinchi
Tol, Richard S. J.
Wang, Jinnan
contents Estimating the effects of climate on economic output is crucial for formulating climate policy, but current empirical findings remain ambiguous. Using annual panel model and panel long-difference model with global subnational data from nearly all countries, we find robust evidence that weather shocks have a transient effect on output. The impact on economic growth is large and significant in the short-run but statistically insignificant in the long-run, except in the coldest and hottest places.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_17946
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Effects of Climate and Weather on Economic Output: Evidence from Global Subnational Data
Dong, Jinchi
Tol, Richard S. J.
Wang, Jinnan
General Economics
Economics
Estimating the effects of climate on economic output is crucial for formulating climate policy, but current empirical findings remain ambiguous. Using annual panel model and panel long-difference model with global subnational data from nearly all countries, we find robust evidence that weather shocks have a transient effect on output. The impact on economic growth is large and significant in the short-run but statistically insignificant in the long-run, except in the coldest and hottest places.
title The Effects of Climate and Weather on Economic Output: Evidence from Global Subnational Data
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.17946