Evaluating AI for Finance: Is AI Credible at Assessing Investment Risk?

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Chawla, Divij, Bhutada, Ashita, Anh, Do Duc, Raghunathan, Abhinav, SP, Vinod, Guo, Cathy, Liew, Dar Win, Gupta, Prannaya, Bhardwaj, Rishabh, Bhardwaj, Rajat, Poria, Soujanya
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Chawla, Divij
Bhutada, Ashita
Anh, Do Duc
Raghunathan, Abhinav
SP, Vinod
Guo, Cathy
Liew, Dar Win
Gupta, Prannaya
Bhardwaj, Rishabh
Bhardwaj, Rajat
Poria, Soujanya
author_facet Chawla, Divij
Bhutada, Ashita
Anh, Do Duc
Raghunathan, Abhinav
SP, Vinod
Guo, Cathy
Liew, Dar Win
Gupta, Prannaya
Bhardwaj, Rishabh
Bhardwaj, Rajat
Poria, Soujanya
contents We assess whether AI systems can credibly evaluate investment risk appetite-a task that must be thoroughly validated before automation. Our analysis was conducted on proprietary systems (GPT, Claude, Gemini) and open-weight models (LLaMA, DeepSeek, Mistral), using carefully curated user profiles that reflect real users with varying attributes such as country and gender. As a result, the models exhibit significant variance in score distributions when user attributes-such as country or gender-that should not influence risk computation are changed. For example, GPT-4o assigns higher risk scores to Nigerian and Indonesian profiles. While some models align closely with expected scores in the Low- and Mid-risk ranges, none maintain consistent scores across regions and demographics, thereby violating AI and finance regulations.
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id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_18953
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Evaluating AI for Finance: Is AI Credible at Assessing Investment Risk?
Chawla, Divij
Bhutada, Ashita
Anh, Do Duc
Raghunathan, Abhinav
SP, Vinod
Guo, Cathy
Liew, Dar Win
Gupta, Prannaya
Bhardwaj, Rishabh
Bhardwaj, Rajat
Poria, Soujanya
Computation and Language
We assess whether AI systems can credibly evaluate investment risk appetite-a task that must be thoroughly validated before automation. Our analysis was conducted on proprietary systems (GPT, Claude, Gemini) and open-weight models (LLaMA, DeepSeek, Mistral), using carefully curated user profiles that reflect real users with varying attributes such as country and gender. As a result, the models exhibit significant variance in score distributions when user attributes-such as country or gender-that should not influence risk computation are changed. For example, GPT-4o assigns higher risk scores to Nigerian and Indonesian profiles. While some models align closely with expected scores in the Low- and Mid-risk ranges, none maintain consistent scores across regions and demographics, thereby violating AI and finance regulations.
title Evaluating AI for Finance: Is AI Credible at Assessing Investment Risk?
topic Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.18953