Second Order Properties of Thinned Counts in Finite Birth--Death Processes

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Daley, Daryl. J., Nazarathy, Yoni, Wang, Jiesen
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Daley, Daryl. J.
Nazarathy, Yoni
Wang, Jiesen
author_facet Daley, Daryl. J.
Nazarathy, Yoni
Wang, Jiesen
contents The paper studies the counting process arising as a subset of births and deaths in a birth--death process on a finite state space. Whenever a birth or death occurs, the process is incremented or not depending on the outcome of an independent Bernoulli experiment whose probability is a state-dependent function of the birth and death and also depends on whether it is a birth or death that has occurred. We establish a formula for the asymptotic variance rate of this process, also presented as the ratio of the asymptotic variance and the asymptotic mean. Several examples including queueing models illustrate the scope of applicability of the results. An analogous formula for the countably infinite state space is conjectured and tested.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_20174
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Second Order Properties of Thinned Counts in Finite Birth--Death Processes
Daley, Daryl. J.
Nazarathy, Yoni
Wang, Jiesen
Probability
The paper studies the counting process arising as a subset of births and deaths in a birth--death process on a finite state space. Whenever a birth or death occurs, the process is incremented or not depending on the outcome of an independent Bernoulli experiment whose probability is a state-dependent function of the birth and death and also depends on whether it is a birth or death that has occurred. We establish a formula for the asymptotic variance rate of this process, also presented as the ratio of the asymptotic variance and the asymptotic mean. Several examples including queueing models illustrate the scope of applicability of the results. An analogous formula for the countably infinite state space is conjectured and tested.
title Second Order Properties of Thinned Counts in Finite Birth--Death Processes
topic Probability
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.20174