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Autori principali: Voelcker, Claas, Pedan, Anastasiia, Ahmadian, Arash, Abachi, Romina, Gilitschenski, Igor, Farahmand, Amir-massoud
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.22772
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author Voelcker, Claas
Pedan, Anastasiia
Ahmadian, Arash
Abachi, Romina
Gilitschenski, Igor
Farahmand, Amir-massoud
author_facet Voelcker, Claas
Pedan, Anastasiia
Ahmadian, Arash
Abachi, Romina
Gilitschenski, Igor
Farahmand, Amir-massoud
contents The idea of value-aware model learning, that models should produce accurate value estimates, has gained prominence in model-based reinforcement learning. The MuZero loss, which penalizes a model's value function prediction compared to the ground-truth value function, has been utilized in several prominent empirical works in the literature. However, theoretical investigation into its strengths and weaknesses is limited. In this paper, we analyze the family of value-aware model learning losses, which includes the popular MuZero loss. We show that these losses, as normally used, are uncalibrated surrogate losses, which means that they do not always recover the correct model and value function. Building on this insight, we propose corrections to solve this issue. Furthermore, we investigate the interplay between the loss calibration, latent model architectures, and auxiliary losses that are commonly employed when training MuZero-style agents. We show that while deterministic models can be sufficient to predict accurate values, learning calibrated stochastic models is still advantageous.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2505_22772
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Calibrated Value-Aware Model Learning with Probabilistic Environment Models
Voelcker, Claas
Pedan, Anastasiia
Ahmadian, Arash
Abachi, Romina
Gilitschenski, Igor
Farahmand, Amir-massoud
Machine Learning
The idea of value-aware model learning, that models should produce accurate value estimates, has gained prominence in model-based reinforcement learning. The MuZero loss, which penalizes a model's value function prediction compared to the ground-truth value function, has been utilized in several prominent empirical works in the literature. However, theoretical investigation into its strengths and weaknesses is limited. In this paper, we analyze the family of value-aware model learning losses, which includes the popular MuZero loss. We show that these losses, as normally used, are uncalibrated surrogate losses, which means that they do not always recover the correct model and value function. Building on this insight, we propose corrections to solve this issue. Furthermore, we investigate the interplay between the loss calibration, latent model architectures, and auxiliary losses that are commonly employed when training MuZero-style agents. We show that while deterministic models can be sufficient to predict accurate values, learning calibrated stochastic models is still advantageous.
title Calibrated Value-Aware Model Learning with Probabilistic Environment Models
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.22772