Reluctant Interaction Inference after Additive Modeling

Fuente: arXiv
Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Huang, Yiling, Panigrahi, Snigdha, Yu, Guo, Bien, Jacob
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1866912409094979584
author Huang, Yiling
Panigrahi, Snigdha
Yu, Guo
Bien, Jacob
author_facet Huang, Yiling
Panigrahi, Snigdha
Yu, Guo
Bien, Jacob
contents Additive models enjoy the flexibility of nonlinear models while still being readily understandable to humans. By contrast, other nonlinear models, which involve interactions between features, are not only harder to fit but also substantially more complicated to explain. Guided by the principle of parsimony, a data analyst therefore may naturally be reluctant to move beyond an additive model unless it is truly warranted. To put this principle of interaction reluctance into practice, we formulate the problem as a hypothesis test with a fitted sparse additive model (SPAM) serving as the null. Because our hypotheses on interaction effects are formed after fitting a SPAM to the data, we adopt a selective inference approach to construct p-values that properly account for this data adaptivity. Our approach makes use of external randomization to obtain the distribution of test statistics conditional on the SPAM fit, allowing us to derive valid p-values, corrected for the over-optimism introduced by the data-adaptive process prior to the test. Through experiments on simulated and real data, we illustrate that--even with small amounts of external randomization--this rigorous modeling approach enjoys considerable advantages over naive methods and data splitting.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_01219
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Reluctant Interaction Inference after Additive Modeling
Huang, Yiling
Panigrahi, Snigdha
Yu, Guo
Bien, Jacob
Methodology
Additive models enjoy the flexibility of nonlinear models while still being readily understandable to humans. By contrast, other nonlinear models, which involve interactions between features, are not only harder to fit but also substantially more complicated to explain. Guided by the principle of parsimony, a data analyst therefore may naturally be reluctant to move beyond an additive model unless it is truly warranted. To put this principle of interaction reluctance into practice, we formulate the problem as a hypothesis test with a fitted sparse additive model (SPAM) serving as the null. Because our hypotheses on interaction effects are formed after fitting a SPAM to the data, we adopt a selective inference approach to construct p-values that properly account for this data adaptivity. Our approach makes use of external randomization to obtain the distribution of test statistics conditional on the SPAM fit, allowing us to derive valid p-values, corrected for the over-optimism introduced by the data-adaptive process prior to the test. Through experiments on simulated and real data, we illustrate that--even with small amounts of external randomization--this rigorous modeling approach enjoys considerable advantages over naive methods and data splitting.
title Reluctant Interaction Inference after Additive Modeling
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.01219