Effect of Insecurity on Agricultural Output in Benue State, Nigeria

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Ijirshar, Victor Ushahemba, Udaah, Isaiah Iortyom, Mile, Bridget Ngodoo, Vershima, Joyce Seember, Adaudu, Abba
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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_version_ 1866910980284350464
author Ijirshar, Victor Ushahemba
Udaah, Isaiah Iortyom
Mile, Bridget Ngodoo
Vershima, Joyce Seember
Adaudu, Abba
author_facet Ijirshar, Victor Ushahemba
Udaah, Isaiah Iortyom
Mile, Bridget Ngodoo
Vershima, Joyce Seember
Adaudu, Abba
contents This study examined the effect of insecurity on agricultural output in Benue state. A descriptive survey design was employed, and 400 respondents were purposively selected from insecurity-prone local government areas, namely, Guma LGA, Agatu LGA, Gwer LGA, Gwer-West LGA, Katsina-Ala LGA, Logo LGA, Ukum LGA and Kwande LGA. The data were collected through the administration of a questionnaire and were analysed using t tests and structural equation modelling (SEM). The t-test was used to compare farmers' incomes before and after the insecurity in the study area to assess if the differences were statistically significant, while Structural Equation Modelling analysed the complex relationships among multiple variables, employing regression and factor analysis to model both direct and indirect effects. The results revealed that the monetary value of crop and livestock output decreased during periods of insecurity. Furthermore, the study showed that insecurity has an adverse effect on crop and livestock output. This means that a one percent increase in insecurity leads to a 0.211% and 0.311% decrease in crop and livestock output respectively. The study concluded that insecurity reduced agricultural output in Benue state. Based on the findings, it was recommended that the government deploy more security personnel, establish community policing initiatives, and employ modern surveillance technologies to deter criminal activities in insecure areas. Additionally, for places experiencing farmer-herder conflict, the government should provide grazing reserves for herdsmen and further strengthen the state law on open grazing prohibition and the establishment of ranch law.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_01525
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Effect of Insecurity on Agricultural Output in Benue State, Nigeria
Ijirshar, Victor Ushahemba
Udaah, Isaiah Iortyom
Mile, Bridget Ngodoo
Vershima, Joyce Seember
Adaudu, Abba
General Economics
Economics
This study examined the effect of insecurity on agricultural output in Benue state. A descriptive survey design was employed, and 400 respondents were purposively selected from insecurity-prone local government areas, namely, Guma LGA, Agatu LGA, Gwer LGA, Gwer-West LGA, Katsina-Ala LGA, Logo LGA, Ukum LGA and Kwande LGA. The data were collected through the administration of a questionnaire and were analysed using t tests and structural equation modelling (SEM). The t-test was used to compare farmers' incomes before and after the insecurity in the study area to assess if the differences were statistically significant, while Structural Equation Modelling analysed the complex relationships among multiple variables, employing regression and factor analysis to model both direct and indirect effects. The results revealed that the monetary value of crop and livestock output decreased during periods of insecurity. Furthermore, the study showed that insecurity has an adverse effect on crop and livestock output. This means that a one percent increase in insecurity leads to a 0.211% and 0.311% decrease in crop and livestock output respectively. The study concluded that insecurity reduced agricultural output in Benue state. Based on the findings, it was recommended that the government deploy more security personnel, establish community policing initiatives, and employ modern surveillance technologies to deter criminal activities in insecure areas. Additionally, for places experiencing farmer-herder conflict, the government should provide grazing reserves for herdsmen and further strengthen the state law on open grazing prohibition and the establishment of ranch law.
title Effect of Insecurity on Agricultural Output in Benue State, Nigeria
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.01525