Self-ensemble: Mitigating Confidence Mis-calibration for Large Language Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Xu, Zicheng, Wang, Guanchu, Zheng, Guangyao, Chuang, Yu-Neng, Szalay, Alexander, Hu, Xia, Braverman, Vladimir
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Xu, Zicheng
Wang, Guanchu
Zheng, Guangyao
Chuang, Yu-Neng
Szalay, Alexander
Hu, Xia
Braverman, Vladimir
author_facet Xu, Zicheng
Wang, Guanchu
Zheng, Guangyao
Chuang, Yu-Neng
Szalay, Alexander
Hu, Xia
Braverman, Vladimir
contents Although Large Language Models (LLMs) perform well in general fields, they exhibit a confidence distortion problem on multi-choice question-answering (MCQA), particularly as the number of answer choices increases. Specifically, on MCQA with many choices, LLMs suffer from under-confidence in correct predictions and over-confidence in incorrect ones, leading to a substantially degraded performance. To solve this problem, we propose Self-ensemble in this work. Our method splits the choices into several groups and ensembles LLM predictions across these groups to reach a final decision. The advantage of Self-ensemble is its plug-and-play nature, where it can be integrated into existing LLM architecture based on a designed attention mask and positional encoding, without requiring labeled datasets for parameter tuning. Experimental results on three LLMs and datasets demonstrate that Self-ensemble comprehensively addresses the confidence distortion problem of LLMs, outperforming standard inference as well as baseline methods.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_01951
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Self-ensemble: Mitigating Confidence Mis-calibration for Large Language Models
Xu, Zicheng
Wang, Guanchu
Zheng, Guangyao
Chuang, Yu-Neng
Szalay, Alexander
Hu, Xia
Braverman, Vladimir
Computation and Language
Machine Learning
Although Large Language Models (LLMs) perform well in general fields, they exhibit a confidence distortion problem on multi-choice question-answering (MCQA), particularly as the number of answer choices increases. Specifically, on MCQA with many choices, LLMs suffer from under-confidence in correct predictions and over-confidence in incorrect ones, leading to a substantially degraded performance. To solve this problem, we propose Self-ensemble in this work. Our method splits the choices into several groups and ensembles LLM predictions across these groups to reach a final decision. The advantage of Self-ensemble is its plug-and-play nature, where it can be integrated into existing LLM architecture based on a designed attention mask and positional encoding, without requiring labeled datasets for parameter tuning. Experimental results on three LLMs and datasets demonstrate that Self-ensemble comprehensively addresses the confidence distortion problem of LLMs, outperforming standard inference as well as baseline methods.
title Self-ensemble: Mitigating Confidence Mis-calibration for Large Language Models
topic Computation and Language
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.01951