The Surprising Irrelevance of Total-Value-Locked on Cryptocurrency Returns

Fuente: arXiv
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Autor principal: Brigida, Matt
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Brigida, Matt
author_facet Brigida, Matt
contents A common assumption in cryptocurrency markets is a positive relationship between total-value-locked (TVL) and cryptocurrency returns. To test this hypothesis we examine whether the returns of TVL-sorted portfolios can be explained by common cryptocurrency factors. We find evidence that portfolios formed on TVL exhibit returns that are linear functions of aggregate crypto market returns, that is they can be replicated with appropriate weights on the crypto market portfolio. Thus, strategies based on TVL can be priced with standard asset pricing tools. This result holds true both for total TVL and a simple TVL measure that removes a number of ways TVL may be overstated.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_03287
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Surprising Irrelevance of Total-Value-Locked on Cryptocurrency Returns
Brigida, Matt
Pricing of Securities
General Economics
Economics
A common assumption in cryptocurrency markets is a positive relationship between total-value-locked (TVL) and cryptocurrency returns. To test this hypothesis we examine whether the returns of TVL-sorted portfolios can be explained by common cryptocurrency factors. We find evidence that portfolios formed on TVL exhibit returns that are linear functions of aggregate crypto market returns, that is they can be replicated with appropriate weights on the crypto market portfolio. Thus, strategies based on TVL can be priced with standard asset pricing tools. This result holds true both for total TVL and a simple TVL measure that removes a number of ways TVL may be overstated.
title The Surprising Irrelevance of Total-Value-Locked on Cryptocurrency Returns
topic Pricing of Securities
General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.03287