Bayesian Inference for Correlated Human Experts and Classifiers

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Kelly, Markelle, Boyd, Alex, Showalter, Sam, Steyvers, Mark, Smyth, Padhraic
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Kelly, Markelle
Boyd, Alex
Showalter, Sam
Steyvers, Mark
Smyth, Padhraic
author_facet Kelly, Markelle
Boyd, Alex
Showalter, Sam
Steyvers, Mark
Smyth, Padhraic
contents Applications of machine learning often involve making predictions based on both model outputs and the opinions of human experts. In this context, we investigate the problem of querying experts for class label predictions, using as few human queries as possible, and leveraging the class probability estimates of pre-trained classifiers. We develop a general Bayesian framework for this problem, modeling expert correlation via a joint latent representation, enabling simulation-based inference about the utility of additional expert queries, as well as inference of posterior distributions over unobserved expert labels. We apply our approach to two real-world medical classification problems, as well as to CIFAR-10H and ImageNet-16H, demonstrating substantial reductions relative to baselines in the cost of querying human experts while maintaining high prediction accuracy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_05636
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian Inference for Correlated Human Experts and Classifiers
Kelly, Markelle
Boyd, Alex
Showalter, Sam
Steyvers, Mark
Smyth, Padhraic
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Applications of machine learning often involve making predictions based on both model outputs and the opinions of human experts. In this context, we investigate the problem of querying experts for class label predictions, using as few human queries as possible, and leveraging the class probability estimates of pre-trained classifiers. We develop a general Bayesian framework for this problem, modeling expert correlation via a joint latent representation, enabling simulation-based inference about the utility of additional expert queries, as well as inference of posterior distributions over unobserved expert labels. We apply our approach to two real-world medical classification problems, as well as to CIFAR-10H and ImageNet-16H, demonstrating substantial reductions relative to baselines in the cost of querying human experts while maintaining high prediction accuracy.
title Bayesian Inference for Correlated Human Experts and Classifiers
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.05636