Multilevel neural simulation-based inference

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Hikida, Yuga, Bharti, Ayush, Jeffrey, Niall, Briol, François-Xavier
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Hikida, Yuga
Bharti, Ayush
Jeffrey, Niall
Briol, François-Xavier
author_facet Hikida, Yuga
Bharti, Ayush
Jeffrey, Niall
Briol, François-Xavier
contents Neural simulation-based inference (SBI) is a popular set of methods for Bayesian inference when models are only available in the form of a simulator. These methods are widely used in the sciences and engineering, where writing down a likelihood can be significantly more challenging than constructing a simulator. However, the performance of neural SBI can suffer when simulators are computationally expensive, thereby limiting the number of simulations that can be performed. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to neural SBI which leverages multilevel Monte Carlo techniques for settings where several simulators of varying cost and fidelity are available. We demonstrate through both theoretical analysis and extensive experiments that our method can significantly enhance the accuracy of SBI methods given a fixed computational budget.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_06087
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Multilevel neural simulation-based inference
Hikida, Yuga
Bharti, Ayush
Jeffrey, Niall
Briol, François-Xavier
Machine Learning
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Computation
Neural simulation-based inference (SBI) is a popular set of methods for Bayesian inference when models are only available in the form of a simulator. These methods are widely used in the sciences and engineering, where writing down a likelihood can be significantly more challenging than constructing a simulator. However, the performance of neural SBI can suffer when simulators are computationally expensive, thereby limiting the number of simulations that can be performed. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to neural SBI which leverages multilevel Monte Carlo techniques for settings where several simulators of varying cost and fidelity are available. We demonstrate through both theoretical analysis and extensive experiments that our method can significantly enhance the accuracy of SBI methods given a fixed computational budget.
title Multilevel neural simulation-based inference
topic Machine Learning
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.06087