Prediction of Bank Credit Ratings using Heterogeneous Topological Graph Neural Networks

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Liu, Junyi, Kok, Stanley
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Liu, Junyi
Kok, Stanley
author_facet Liu, Junyi
Kok, Stanley
contents Agencies such as Standard & Poor's and Moody's provide bank credit ratings that influence economic stability and decision-making by stakeholders. Accurate and timely predictions support informed decision-making, regulatory actions, and investor protection. However, a complete interbank connection graph is often unavailable due to privacy concerns, complicating the direct application of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for rating prediction. our research utilizes persistent homology to construct a network that captures relationships among banks and combines this with a traditional lending network to create a heterogeneous network that integrates information from both sources, leading to improved predictions. Experiments on a global, real-world dataset validate the effectiveness of HTGNN. This research has implications for investors and regulatory bodies in enhancing proactive risk mitigation and the implementation of effective market interventions.The code can be find at https://github.com/Liu-Jun-Yi/HTGNN.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_06293
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Prediction of Bank Credit Ratings using Heterogeneous Topological Graph Neural Networks
Liu, Junyi
Kok, Stanley
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Agencies such as Standard & Poor's and Moody's provide bank credit ratings that influence economic stability and decision-making by stakeholders. Accurate and timely predictions support informed decision-making, regulatory actions, and investor protection. However, a complete interbank connection graph is often unavailable due to privacy concerns, complicating the direct application of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for rating prediction. our research utilizes persistent homology to construct a network that captures relationships among banks and combines this with a traditional lending network to create a heterogeneous network that integrates information from both sources, leading to improved predictions. Experiments on a global, real-world dataset validate the effectiveness of HTGNN. This research has implications for investors and regulatory bodies in enhancing proactive risk mitigation and the implementation of effective market interventions.The code can be find at https://github.com/Liu-Jun-Yi/HTGNN.
title Prediction of Bank Credit Ratings using Heterogeneous Topological Graph Neural Networks
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.06293