Evaluation of Machine Learning Models in Student Academic Performance Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Sandeepa, A. G. R., Mohottala, Sanka
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Sandeepa, A. G. R.
Mohottala, Sanka
author_facet Sandeepa, A. G. R.
Mohottala, Sanka
contents This research investigates the use of machine learning methods to forecast students' academic performance in a school setting. Students' data with behavioral, academic, and demographic details were used in implementations with standard classical machine learning models including multi-layer perceptron classifier (MLPC). MLPC obtained 86.46% maximum accuracy for test set across all implementations. Under 10-fold cross validation, MLPC obtained 79.58% average accuracy for test set while for train set, it was 99.65%. MLP's better performance over other machine learning models strongly suggest the potential use of neural networks as data-efficient models. Feature selection approach played a crucial role in improving the performance and multiple evaluation approaches were used in order to compare with existing literature. Explainable machine learning methods were utilized to demystify the black box models and to validate the feature selection approach.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_08047
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Evaluation of Machine Learning Models in Student Academic Performance Prediction
Sandeepa, A. G. R.
Mohottala, Sanka
Computers and Society
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
This research investigates the use of machine learning methods to forecast students' academic performance in a school setting. Students' data with behavioral, academic, and demographic details were used in implementations with standard classical machine learning models including multi-layer perceptron classifier (MLPC). MLPC obtained 86.46% maximum accuracy for test set across all implementations. Under 10-fold cross validation, MLPC obtained 79.58% average accuracy for test set while for train set, it was 99.65%. MLP's better performance over other machine learning models strongly suggest the potential use of neural networks as data-efficient models. Feature selection approach played a crucial role in improving the performance and multiple evaluation approaches were used in order to compare with existing literature. Explainable machine learning methods were utilized to demystify the black box models and to validate the feature selection approach.
title Evaluation of Machine Learning Models in Student Academic Performance Prediction
topic Computers and Society
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.08047