Smile asymptotics for Bachelier implied volatility

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Baviera, Roberto, Massaria, Michele Domenico
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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_version_ 1866917284653563904
author Baviera, Roberto
Massaria, Michele Domenico
author_facet Baviera, Roberto
Massaria, Michele Domenico
contents We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the implied volatility in the Bachelier setting, extending the large-strike results established for the Black-Scholes framework. Exploiting the theory of regular variation, we derive explicit expressions for the Bachelier implied volatility in the wings of the smile, directly linking them to the tail decay of the underlying returns' distribution. Furthermore, we establish a rigorous connection between the analyticity strip of the characteristic function and the asymptotic slope of the volatility smile. Moreover, we show that if the implied variance grows linearly for large absolute moneyness degree, the underlying returns' distribution must exhibit exponential tail decay, and the corresponding characteristic function is analytic in a horizontal strip of the complex plane. These findings characterizes valid models based solely on the observable asymptotic behaviour of the smile.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_08067
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Smile asymptotics for Bachelier implied volatility
Baviera, Roberto
Massaria, Michele Domenico
Pricing of Securities
Probability
Mathematical Finance
60E10, 91G20
We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the implied volatility in the Bachelier setting, extending the large-strike results established for the Black-Scholes framework. Exploiting the theory of regular variation, we derive explicit expressions for the Bachelier implied volatility in the wings of the smile, directly linking them to the tail decay of the underlying returns' distribution. Furthermore, we establish a rigorous connection between the analyticity strip of the characteristic function and the asymptotic slope of the volatility smile. Moreover, we show that if the implied variance grows linearly for large absolute moneyness degree, the underlying returns' distribution must exhibit exponential tail decay, and the corresponding characteristic function is analytic in a horizontal strip of the complex plane. These findings characterizes valid models based solely on the observable asymptotic behaviour of the smile.
title Smile asymptotics for Bachelier implied volatility
topic Pricing of Securities
Probability
Mathematical Finance
60E10, 91G20
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.08067