ClimateViz: A Benchmark for Statistical Reasoning and Fact Verification on Scientific Charts

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Main Authors: Su, Ruiran, Si, Jiasheng, Guo, Zhijiang, Pierrehumbert, Janet B.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Su, Ruiran
Si, Jiasheng
Guo, Zhijiang
Pierrehumbert, Janet B.
author_facet Su, Ruiran
Si, Jiasheng
Guo, Zhijiang
Pierrehumbert, Janet B.
contents Scientific fact-checking has mostly focused on text and tables, overlooking scientific charts, which are key for presenting quantitative evidence and statistical reasoning. We introduce ClimateViz, the first large-scale benchmark for scientific fact-checking using expert-curated scientific charts. ClimateViz contains 49,862 claims linked to 2,896 visualizations, each labeled as support, refute, or not enough information. To improve interpretability, each example includes structured knowledge graph explanations covering trends, comparisons, and causal relations. We evaluate state-of-the-art multimodal language models, including both proprietary and open-source systems, in zero-shot and few-shot settings. Results show that current models struggle with chart-based reasoning: even the best systems, such as Gemini 2.5 and InternVL 2.5, reach only 76.2 to 77.8 percent accuracy in label-only settings, far below human performance (89.3 and 92.7 percent). Explanation-augmented outputs improve performance in some models. We released our dataset and code alongside the paper.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_08700
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle ClimateViz: A Benchmark for Statistical Reasoning and Fact Verification on Scientific Charts
Su, Ruiran
Si, Jiasheng
Guo, Zhijiang
Pierrehumbert, Janet B.
Computation and Language
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Scientific fact-checking has mostly focused on text and tables, overlooking scientific charts, which are key for presenting quantitative evidence and statistical reasoning. We introduce ClimateViz, the first large-scale benchmark for scientific fact-checking using expert-curated scientific charts. ClimateViz contains 49,862 claims linked to 2,896 visualizations, each labeled as support, refute, or not enough information. To improve interpretability, each example includes structured knowledge graph explanations covering trends, comparisons, and causal relations. We evaluate state-of-the-art multimodal language models, including both proprietary and open-source systems, in zero-shot and few-shot settings. Results show that current models struggle with chart-based reasoning: even the best systems, such as Gemini 2.5 and InternVL 2.5, reach only 76.2 to 77.8 percent accuracy in label-only settings, far below human performance (89.3 and 92.7 percent). Explanation-augmented outputs improve performance in some models. We released our dataset and code alongside the paper.
title ClimateViz: A Benchmark for Statistical Reasoning and Fact Verification on Scientific Charts
topic Computation and Language
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.08700