IntTrajSim: Trajectory Prediction for Simulating Multi-Vehicle driving at Signalized Intersections

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Ranjan, Yash, Sengupta, Rahul, Rangarajan, Anand, Ranka, Sanjay
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Ranjan, Yash
Sengupta, Rahul
Rangarajan, Anand
Ranka, Sanjay
author_facet Ranjan, Yash
Sengupta, Rahul
Rangarajan, Anand
Ranka, Sanjay
contents Traffic simulators are widely used to study the operational efficiency of road infrastructure, but their rule-based approach limits their ability to mimic real-world driving behavior. Traffic intersections are critical components of the road infrastructure, both in terms of safety risk (nearly 28% of fatal crashes and 58% of nonfatal crashes happen at intersections) as well as the operational efficiency of a road corridor. This raises an important question: can we create a data-driven simulator that can mimic the macro- and micro-statistics of the driving behavior at a traffic intersection? Deep Generative Modeling-based trajectory prediction models provide a good starting point to model the complex dynamics of vehicles at an intersection. But they are not tested in a "live" micro-simulation scenario and are not evaluated on traffic engineering-related metrics. In this study, we propose traffic engineering-related metrics to evaluate generative trajectory prediction models and provide a simulation-in-the-loop pipeline to do so. We also provide a multi-headed self-attention-based trajectory prediction model that incorporates the signal information, which outperforms our previous models on the evaluation metrics.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_08957
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle IntTrajSim: Trajectory Prediction for Simulating Multi-Vehicle driving at Signalized Intersections
Ranjan, Yash
Sengupta, Rahul
Rangarajan, Anand
Ranka, Sanjay
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Traffic simulators are widely used to study the operational efficiency of road infrastructure, but their rule-based approach limits their ability to mimic real-world driving behavior. Traffic intersections are critical components of the road infrastructure, both in terms of safety risk (nearly 28% of fatal crashes and 58% of nonfatal crashes happen at intersections) as well as the operational efficiency of a road corridor. This raises an important question: can we create a data-driven simulator that can mimic the macro- and micro-statistics of the driving behavior at a traffic intersection? Deep Generative Modeling-based trajectory prediction models provide a good starting point to model the complex dynamics of vehicles at an intersection. But they are not tested in a "live" micro-simulation scenario and are not evaluated on traffic engineering-related metrics. In this study, we propose traffic engineering-related metrics to evaluate generative trajectory prediction models and provide a simulation-in-the-loop pipeline to do so. We also provide a multi-headed self-attention-based trajectory prediction model that incorporates the signal information, which outperforms our previous models on the evaluation metrics.
title IntTrajSim: Trajectory Prediction for Simulating Multi-Vehicle driving at Signalized Intersections
topic Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.08957