Online Discovery of Simulation Models for Evolving Business Processes (Extended Version)

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Vinci, Francesco, Park, Gyunam, van der Aalst, Wil, de Leoni, Massimiliano
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Vinci, Francesco
Park, Gyunam
van der Aalst, Wil
de Leoni, Massimiliano
author_facet Vinci, Francesco
Park, Gyunam
van der Aalst, Wil
de Leoni, Massimiliano
contents Business Process Simulation (BPS) refers to techniques designed to replicate the dynamic behavior of a business process. Many approaches have been proposed to automatically discover simulation models from historical event logs, reducing the cost and time to manually design them. However, in dynamic business environments, organizations continuously refine their processes to enhance efficiency, reduce costs, and improve customer satisfaction. Existing techniques to process simulation discovery lack adaptability to real-time operational changes. In this paper, we propose a streaming process simulation discovery technique that integrates Incremental Process Discovery with Online Machine Learning methods. This technique prioritizes recent data while preserving historical information, ensuring adaptation to evolving process dynamics. Experiments conducted on four different event logs demonstrate the importance in simulation of giving more weight to recent data while retaining historical knowledge. Our technique not only produces more stable simulations but also exhibits robustness in handling concept drift, as highlighted in one of the use cases.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_10049
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Online Discovery of Simulation Models for Evolving Business Processes (Extended Version)
Vinci, Francesco
Park, Gyunam
van der Aalst, Wil
de Leoni, Massimiliano
Software Engineering
Machine Learning
Business Process Simulation (BPS) refers to techniques designed to replicate the dynamic behavior of a business process. Many approaches have been proposed to automatically discover simulation models from historical event logs, reducing the cost and time to manually design them. However, in dynamic business environments, organizations continuously refine their processes to enhance efficiency, reduce costs, and improve customer satisfaction. Existing techniques to process simulation discovery lack adaptability to real-time operational changes. In this paper, we propose a streaming process simulation discovery technique that integrates Incremental Process Discovery with Online Machine Learning methods. This technique prioritizes recent data while preserving historical information, ensuring adaptation to evolving process dynamics. Experiments conducted on four different event logs demonstrate the importance in simulation of giving more weight to recent data while retaining historical knowledge. Our technique not only produces more stable simulations but also exhibits robustness in handling concept drift, as highlighted in one of the use cases.
title Online Discovery of Simulation Models for Evolving Business Processes (Extended Version)
topic Software Engineering
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.10049