Discovering Hierarchical Latent Capabilities of Language Models via Causal Representation Learning

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Jin, Jikai, Syrgkanis, Vasilis, Kakade, Sham, Zhang, Hanlin
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Jin, Jikai
Syrgkanis, Vasilis
Kakade, Sham
Zhang, Hanlin
author_facet Jin, Jikai
Syrgkanis, Vasilis
Kakade, Sham
Zhang, Hanlin
contents Faithful evaluation of language model capabilities is crucial for deriving actionable insights that can inform model development. However, rigorous causal evaluations in this domain face significant methodological challenges, including complex confounding effects and prohibitive computational costs associated with extensive retraining. To tackle these challenges, we propose a causal representation learning framework wherein observed benchmark performance is modeled as a linear transformation of a few latent capability factors. Crucially, these latent factors are identified as causally interrelated after appropriately controlling for the base model as a common confounder. Applying this approach to a comprehensive dataset encompassing over 1500 models evaluated across six benchmarks from the Open LLM Leaderboard, we identify a concise three-node linear causal structure that reliably explains the observed performance variations. Further interpretation of this causal structure provides substantial scientific insights beyond simple numerical rankings: specifically, we reveal a clear causal direction starting from general problem-solving capabilities, advancing through instruction-following proficiency, and culminating in mathematical reasoning ability. Our results underscore the essential role of carefully controlling base model variations during evaluation, a step critical to accurately uncovering the underlying causal relationships among latent model capabilities.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_10378
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Discovering Hierarchical Latent Capabilities of Language Models via Causal Representation Learning
Jin, Jikai
Syrgkanis, Vasilis
Kakade, Sham
Zhang, Hanlin
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
Faithful evaluation of language model capabilities is crucial for deriving actionable insights that can inform model development. However, rigorous causal evaluations in this domain face significant methodological challenges, including complex confounding effects and prohibitive computational costs associated with extensive retraining. To tackle these challenges, we propose a causal representation learning framework wherein observed benchmark performance is modeled as a linear transformation of a few latent capability factors. Crucially, these latent factors are identified as causally interrelated after appropriately controlling for the base model as a common confounder. Applying this approach to a comprehensive dataset encompassing over 1500 models evaluated across six benchmarks from the Open LLM Leaderboard, we identify a concise three-node linear causal structure that reliably explains the observed performance variations. Further interpretation of this causal structure provides substantial scientific insights beyond simple numerical rankings: specifically, we reveal a clear causal direction starting from general problem-solving capabilities, advancing through instruction-following proficiency, and culminating in mathematical reasoning ability. Our results underscore the essential role of carefully controlling base model variations during evaluation, a step critical to accurately uncovering the underlying causal relationships among latent model capabilities.
title Discovering Hierarchical Latent Capabilities of Language Models via Causal Representation Learning
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.10378