The Limits of Tractable Marginalization

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Broadrick, Oliver, Agarwal, Sanyam, Broeck, Guy Van den, Bläser, Markus
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Broadrick, Oliver
Agarwal, Sanyam
Broeck, Guy Van den
Bläser, Markus
author_facet Broadrick, Oliver
Agarwal, Sanyam
Broeck, Guy Van den
Bläser, Markus
contents Marginalization -- summing a function over all assignments to a subset of its inputs -- is a fundamental computational problem with applications from probabilistic inference to formal verification. Despite its computational hardness in general, there exist many classes of functions (e.g., probabilistic models) for which marginalization remains tractable, and they can be commonly expressed by polynomial size arithmetic circuits computing multilinear polynomials. This raises the question, can all functions with polynomial time marginalization algorithms be succinctly expressed by such circuits? We give a negative answer, exhibiting simple functions with tractable marginalization yet no efficient representation by known models, assuming $\textsf{FP}\neq\#\textsf{P}$ (an assumption implied by $\textsf{P} \neq \textsf{NP}$). To this end, we identify a hierarchy of complexity classes corresponding to stronger forms of marginalization, all of which are efficiently computable on the known circuit models. We conclude with a completeness result, showing that whenever there is an efficient real RAM performing virtual evidence marginalization for a function, then there are small circuits for that function's multilinear representation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_12020
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Limits of Tractable Marginalization
Broadrick, Oliver
Agarwal, Sanyam
Broeck, Guy Van den
Bläser, Markus
Computational Complexity
Artificial Intelligence
Marginalization -- summing a function over all assignments to a subset of its inputs -- is a fundamental computational problem with applications from probabilistic inference to formal verification. Despite its computational hardness in general, there exist many classes of functions (e.g., probabilistic models) for which marginalization remains tractable, and they can be commonly expressed by polynomial size arithmetic circuits computing multilinear polynomials. This raises the question, can all functions with polynomial time marginalization algorithms be succinctly expressed by such circuits? We give a negative answer, exhibiting simple functions with tractable marginalization yet no efficient representation by known models, assuming $\textsf{FP}\neq\#\textsf{P}$ (an assumption implied by $\textsf{P} \neq \textsf{NP}$). To this end, we identify a hierarchy of complexity classes corresponding to stronger forms of marginalization, all of which are efficiently computable on the known circuit models. We conclude with a completeness result, showing that whenever there is an efficient real RAM performing virtual evidence marginalization for a function, then there are small circuits for that function's multilinear representation.
title The Limits of Tractable Marginalization
topic Computational Complexity
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.12020